FFO per Share to Increase 3.5% at
Midpoint
COPT Defense Properties (NYSE: CDP) (“COPT Defense” or the
“Company”) is establishing the following guidance for the year
ending December 31, 2025:
2025 Guidance
- Diluted earnings per share (“EPS”) in the range of $1.27−$1.35;
and
- Diluted FFO per share (“FFOPS”) - Nareit and as adjusted for
comparability, in the range of $2.62−$2.70.
1Q25 Guidance
For the quarter ending March 31, 2025, the Company is
establishing the following guidance:
- EPS in the range of $0.31−$0.33; and
- FFOPS - Nareit and as adjusted for comparability, in the range
of $0.64−$0.66.
2025 Guidance Reconciliation
Tables
Reconciliations of projected EPS to projected FFOPS - Nareit and
as adjusted for comparability, are as follows:
Table 1: Reconciliation of EPS to
FFOPS, per Nareit and As Adjusted for Comparability
Quarter ending
Year ending
March 31, 2025
December 31, 2025
Low
High
Low
High
EPS
$ 0.31
$ 0.33
$ 1.27
$ 1.35
Real estate-related depreciation and
amortization
0.33
0.33
1.35
1.35
FFOPS, Nareit and as adjusted for
comparability
$ 0.64
$ 0.66
$ 2.62
$ 2.70
Assumptions Underpinning 2025
Guidance
Tables 2 and 3 detail assumptions that underpin the Company’s
2025 and 1Q25 full year EPS and FFOPS guidance, respectively:
Table 2: Full Year 2025 Guidance Assumptions (a)
Metric
2024 Actual
2025
Management Commentary
Low
Midpoint
High
Earnings:
EPS
$1.23
$1.27
$1.31
$1.35
FFOPS – Nareit and as adjusted for
comparability
$2.57
$2.62
$2.66
$2.70
Y/Y growth driven by an increase in NOI
from the Same Property portfolio, developments placed into service,
and 2024 acquisitions, partially offset by higher interest expense,
lower interest and other income, and non-recurring items in
2024.
Key Assumptions:
2025 Same Property Pool:
% Change in Cash NOI
9.1% (b)
2.0%
2.75%
3.5%
Growth in 2025 driven by contractual cash
rent increases in leases, commencement of rents from 2023 and 2024
leasing activity, and increases in cash rent at properties added
into the 2025 pool, partially offset by non-recurring items in
2024.
Year-end Occupancy
94.1% (b)
93.5%
94.0%
94.5%
Occupancy will be impacted by multiple
known non-renewals and downsizes, primarily in 1Q25, partially
offset by the commencement of leases executed in 2024.
Tenant Retention
86%
75%
80%
85%
Of the ~3M SF expiring in 2025, we expect
~600K SF of USG leases will extend short-term into 2026. Tenant
Retention guidance pertains to the remaining ~2.4M SF.
Change in Cash Rents on Renewals
0.6%
(1.0%)
0.0%
1.0%
Cash NOI from Developments (c)
$10.5
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
~$150M delivered in 2024 (~400K SF, 83%
leased), with another ~$250M delivering throughout 2025 (~600K SF,
75% leased). Range is driven by timing of rent commencement, not
lease execution risk.
Net Construction Contract and Other
Service Revenues
$2.3
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
Total G&A Expenses (d)
$47.0
$45.0
$46.0
$47.0
Consolidated Interest Expense (net of
Capitalized Interest)
$82.2
$89.0
$91.0
$93.0
Increase in interest expense due to a
higher projected debt balance and pre-funding the $400M unsecured
bond maturity due March 2026 in 4Q25 (net impact of ~1.5c per
share), partially offset by higher capitalized interest given
anticipated development starts.
Interest and other income, net
$12.7
$8.5
$9.5
$10.5
Decline is driven by lower cash balances,
recent and anticipated paydowns of the Note Receivable from City of
Huntsville and Other investing loan receivable, partially offset by
temporary investment of bond proceeds in 4Q25.
Dividend / Diluted AFFO Payout Ratio
60.6%
Below 65%
Investment Activity:
Capital Invested in Development /
Acquisitions
$189
$250
$275
$300
Anticipated costs incurred on development
projects.
Capital Commitment to New Investments
$212
$200
$225
$250
Capital commitments to investments
primarily in Fort Meade/BW Corridor and Redstone Arsenal.
Property Sales
-
None
No planned asset sales.
Table 3: 1Q25 Guidance Assumptions
(a)
1Q25 Metric
4Q24 Actual
1Q25
Management Commentary
Low
Midpoint
High
Earnings:
EPS
$0.31
$0.31
$0.32
$0.33
FFOPS – as adjusted for comparability
$0.65
$0.64
$0.65
$0.66
Flat q/q due to rent from lease
commencements and development placed in service, offset by higher
seasonal operating expenses and a ~50bps decline in same property
occupancy due to multiple known non-renewals and downsizes.
a)
Dollars are in millions (except
per share data).
b)
Same Property metrics in 2024
refer to the 2024 Pool.
c)
The 2024 actual amount represents
cash NOI from developments placed into service during 2023 and
2024. The 2025 assumption amount represents cash NOI from
developments placed into service during 2024 and expected to be
placed into service during 2025 and, as such, are not yet in the
Company’s Same Property portfolio.
d)
Includes G&A, leasing
expenses, business development expenses, and land carry cost.
About COPT Defense
COPT Defense, an S&P MidCap 400 Company, is a self-managed
REIT focused on owning, operating and developing properties in
locations proximate to, or sometimes containing, key U.S.
Government (“USG”) defense installations and missions (referred to
as its Defense/IT Portfolio). The Company’s tenants include the USG
and their defense contractors, who are primarily engaged in
priority national security activities, and who generally require
mission-critical and high security property enhancements. As of
December 31, 2024, the Company’s Defense/IT Portfolio of 195
properties, including 24 owned through unconsolidated joint
ventures, encompassed 22.4 million square feet and was 96.8%
leased.
Non-GAAP Measures
The Company believes that the measures defined below that are
not determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting
principles (“GAAP”) are helpful to investors in measuring its
performance and comparing it to that of other real estate
investment trusts (“REITs”). Since these measures exclude certain
items includable in their respective most comparable GAAP measures,
reliance on the measures has limitations; the Company’s management
compensates for these limitations by using the measures simply as
supplemental measures that are weighed in balance with other GAAP
and non-GAAP measures. These measures should not be used as an
alternative to the respective most comparable GAAP measures when
evaluating the Company’s financial performance or to cash flow from
operating, investing and financing activities when evaluating its
liquidity or ability to make cash distributions or pay debt
service.
Basic FFO available to common share and
common unit holders (“Basic FFO”) – FFO adjusted to
subtract (1) preferred share dividends, (2) income or loss
attributable to noncontrolling interests through ownership of
preferred units in COPT Defense Properties, L.P. (the “Operating
Partnership”) or interests in other consolidated entities not owned
by us, (3) depreciation and amortization allocable to
noncontrolling interests in other consolidated entities, (4) Basic
FFO allocable to share-based compensation awards and (5) issuance
costs associated with redeemed preferred shares. With these
adjustments, Basic FFO represents FFO available to common
shareholders and holders of common units in the Operating
Partnership (“common units”). Common units are substantially
similar to our common shares of beneficial interest (“common
shares”) and are exchangeable into common shares, subject to
certain conditions.
Cash net operating income (“Cash
NOI”) – NOI from real estate operations adjusted to
eliminate the effects of: straight-line rental adjustments,
amortization of tenant incentives, amortization of intangibles and
other assets included in FFO and NOI, lease termination fees from
tenants to terminate their lease obligations prior to the end of
the agreed upon lease terms and rental revenue recognized under
GAAP resulting from landlord assets and lease incentives funded by
tenants. Cash NOI also includes adjustments to NOI from real estate
operations for the effects of the items noted above pertaining to
unconsolidated real estate JVs that were allocable to our ownership
interest in the JVs. Under GAAP, rental revenue is recognized
evenly over the term of tenant leases (through straight-line rental
adjustments and amortization of tenant incentives), which, given
the long term nature of our leases, does not align with the
economics of when tenant payments are due to us under the
arrangements. Also under GAAP, when a property is acquired, we
allocate the acquisition to certain intangible components, which
are then amortized into NOI over their estimated lives, even though
the resulting revenue adjustments are not reflective of our lease
economics. In addition, revenue from lease termination fees and
tenant-funded landlord improvements, absent an adjustment from us,
would result in large one-time lump sum amounts in Cash NOI that we
do not believe are reflective of a property’s long-term value.
Diluted adjusted funds from operations
available to common share and common unit holders (“Diluted
AFFO”) – Diluted FFO, as adjusted for comparability,
adjusted for the following: (1) the elimination of the effect of
(a) noncash rental revenues and property operating expenses
(comprised of straight-line rental adjustments, which includes the
amortization of recurring tenant incentives, and amortization of
acquisition intangibles included in FFO and NOI, both of which are
described under “Cash NOI” above), (b) share-based compensation,
net of amounts capitalized, (c) amortization of deferred financing
costs, (d) amortization of debt discounts and premiums and (e)
amortization of settlements of debt hedges; and (2) replacement
capital expenditures (defined below). Diluted AFFO also includes
adjustments to Diluted FFO, as adjusted for comparability for the
effects of the items noted above pertaining to unconsolidated real
estate JVs that were allocable to our ownership interest in the
JVs.
Diluted FFO available to common share
and common unit holders (“Diluted FFO”) – Basic FFO
adjusted to add back any changes in Basic FFO that would result
from the assumed conversion of securities that are convertible or
exchangeable into common shares. The computation of Diluted FFO
(which includes discontinued operations) assumes the conversion of
common units but does not assume the conversion of other securities
that are convertible into common shares if the conversion of those
securities would increase Diluted FFO per share in a given
period.
Diluted FFO available to common share
and common unit holders, as adjusted for comparability (“Diluted
FFO, as adjusted for comparability”) – Diluted FFO or
FFO adjusted to exclude: operating property acquisition costs (for
acquisitions classified as business combinations); gain or loss on
early extinguishment of debt; FFO associated with properties that
secured non-recourse debt on which we defaulted and, subsequently,
extinguished via conveyance of such properties (including property
NOI, interest expense and gains on debt extinguishment); loss on
interest rate derivatives; executive transition costs associated
with named executive officers; and, for periods prior to 10/1/22,
demolition costs on redevelopment and nonrecurring improvements and
executive transition costs associated with other senior management
team members. Diluted FFO, as adjusted for comparability also
includes adjustments to Diluted FFO for the effects of the items
noted above pertaining to unconsolidated real estate JVs that were
allocable to our ownership interest in the JVs.
Diluted FFO per share
– Defined as (1) Diluted FFO divided by (2) the sum of the
(a) weighted average common shares outstanding during a period, (b)
weighted average common units outstanding during a period and (c)
weighted average number of potential additional common shares that
would have been outstanding during a period if other securities
that are convertible or exchangeable into common shares were
converted or exchanged. The computation of Diluted FFO per share
assumes the conversion of common units but does not assume the
conversion of other securities that are convertible into common
shares if the conversion of those securities would increase Diluted
FFO per share in a given period.
Diluted FFO per share, as adjusted for
comparability – Defined as (1) Diluted FFO
available to common share and common unit holders, as adjusted for
comparability divided by (2) the sum of the (a) weighted average
common shares outstanding during a period, (b) weighted average
common units outstanding during a period and (c) weighted average
number of potential additional common shares that would have been
outstanding during a period if other securities that are
convertible or exchangeable into common shares were converted or
exchanged. The computation of this measure assumes the conversion
of common units but does not assume the conversion of other
securities that are convertible into common shares if the
conversion of those securities would increase the per share measure
in a given period.
Reconciliations of Diluted EPS to
Diluted FFOPS
Actuals
Diluted EPS to Diluted FFOPS per Nareit
and as adjusted for comparability
(in dollars per share)
Quarter EndedDecember 31, 2024 Year EndedDecember 31, 2024 Diluted
EPS
$
0.31
$
1.23
Real estate-related depreciation and amortization
0.34
1.36
Other FFO adjustments
(0.01
)
(0.02
)
Diluted FFOPS, Nareit
0.64
2.57
Other FFO, as adjusted for comparability adjustments
0.01
-
Diluted FFOPS, as adjusted for comparability
$
0.65
$
2.57
Funds from operations (“FFO” or “FFO
per Nareit”) – Defined as net income or loss
computed using GAAP, excluding gains on sales and impairment losses
of real estate and investments in unconsolidated real estate JVs
(net of associated income tax) and real estate-related depreciation
and amortization. FFO also includes adjustments to net income or
loss for the effects of the items noted above pertaining to
unconsolidated real estate JVs that were allocable to our ownership
interest in the JVs. We believe that we use the National
Association of Real Estate Investment Trust’s (“Nareit”) definition
of FFO, although others may interpret the definition differently
and, accordingly, our presentation of FFO may differ from those of
other REITs.
Net operating income from real estate
operations (“NOI”) – Includes: consolidated real
estate revenues; consolidated property operating expenses; and the
net of revenues and property operating expenses of real estate
operations owned through unconsolidated real estate JVs that are
allocable to COPT Defense’s ownership interest in the JVs.
Net construction contract and other
service revenues ‒ Defined as net operating income from
real estate services such as property management, development and
construction services primarily for the Company's properties but
also for third parties. Construction contract and other service
revenues and expenses consist primarily of subcontracted costs that
are reimbursed to the Company by the customer along with a
management fee. The operating margins from these activities are
small relative to the revenue. The Company believes NOI from
service operations is a useful measure in assessing both its level
of activity and its profitability in conducting such
operations.
Reconciliation of Net Construction
Contract and Other Service Revenues (in millions)
Actuals Guidance Year EndedDecember 31, 2024 Year EndingDecember
31, 2025 Construction contract and other service revenues
$
75.6
$
33
Construction contract and other service expenses
(73.3
)
(31
)
Net construction contract and other service revenues
$
2.3
$
2
Payout ratios based on: Diluted FFO;
Diluted FFO, as adjusted for comparability; and Diluted
AFFO – These payout ratios are defined as (1) the
sum of dividends on common and deferred shares and distributions to
holders of interests in the Operating Partnership to the extent
they are dilutive in the respective FFO per share numerators
divided by (2) the respective non-GAAP measures.
Replacement capital
expenditures – Tenant improvements and
incentives, building improvements and leasing costs incurred during
the period for operating properties that are not (1) items
contemplated prior to the acquisition of a property, (2)
improvements associated with the expansion of a building or its
improvements, (3) renovations to a building which change the
underlying classification of the building (for example, from
industrial to office or Class C office to Class B office), (4)
capital improvements that represent the addition of something new
to the property rather than the replacement of something (for
example, the addition of a new heating and air conditioning unit
that is not replacing one that was previously there) or (5)
replacements of significant components of a building after the
building has reached the end of its original useful life.
Replacement capital expenditures excludes expenditures of operating
properties included in disposition plans during the period that
were already sold or are held for future disposition. For cash
tenant incentives not due to the tenant for a period exceeding
three months past the date on which such incentives were incurred,
we recognize such incentives as replacement capital expenditures in
the periods such incentives are due to the tenant. Replacement
capital expenditures, which is included in the computation of
Diluted AFFO, is intended to represent non-transformative capital
expenditures of existing properties held for long-term
investment.
Same Property –
Operating properties stably owned and 100% operational since at
least the beginning of the prior year.
Same Property NOI and Same Property
cash NOI – NOI, or Cash NOI, from real estate
operations of Same Property groupings.
Reconciliations of Developments
Property NOI to Cash NOI (in millions)
Actuals Guidance Year EndedDecember 31, 2024 Year EndingDecember
31, 2025 Property NOI
$
23
$
14
Straight line rent adjustments
(12
)
(9
)
Cash NOI
$
11
$
5
Forward-Looking
Information
This press release may contain “forward-looking” statements, as
defined in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section
21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, that are based on the
Company’s current expectations, estimates and projections about
future events and financial trends affecting the Company.
Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words
such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “believe,” “anticipate,”
“expect,” “estimate,” “plan” or other comparable terminology.
Forward-looking statements are inherently subject to risks and
uncertainties, many of which the Company cannot predict with
accuracy and some of which the Company might not even anticipate.
Although the Company believes that the expectations, estimates and
projections reflected in such forward-looking statements are based
on reasonable assumptions at the time made, the Company can give no
assurance that these expectations, estimates and projections will
be achieved. Future events and actual results may differ materially
from those discussed in the forward-looking statements and the
Company undertakes no obligation to update or supplement any
forward-looking statements.
The areas of risk that may affect these expectations, estimates
and projections include, but are not limited to, those risks
described in Item 1A of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Source: COPT Defense Properties
View source
version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250206629204/en/
IR Contacts: Venkat Kommineni, CFA 443.285.5587
venkat.kommineni@copt.com
Michelle Layne 443.285.5452 michelle.layne@copt.com
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