How Will the S&P 500 Index Perform in the First Week of November?
31 October 2022 - 9:11AM
Finscreener.org
Despite the less-than-impressive
earnings of tech stocks, most indices gained momentum in the last week
that ended on October 28, 2022, on the back of higher-than-expected
consumer spending growth. The
Dow Jones index rose 6%
last week, while the
S&P 500 and
Nasdaq indices surged 4% and 2%,
respectively.
Comparatively, the U.S. Treasury
yields fell in recent trading sessions and touched a low of 3.9% on
Thursday before rebounding to 4% yesterday. Oil prices rallied,
too, as there was speculation that OPEC and its allies may cut
production to support a higher pricing environment as the supply
chain remains tight globally. The price of WTI (West Texas
Intermediate) crude,
which is the U.S. benchmark, gained 3% to end the week at $88 per
barrel.
Almost six months after Elon Musk
first tweeted about acquiring Twitter
(NYSE: TWTR),
the mercurial CEO completed the $44 billion deal last week. Soon
after the acquisition was completed, several high-ranking officials
were fired that included Twitter’s CEO and CFO. Musk also confirmed
he plans to reduce the workforce of the social media platform and
alter Twitter’s content moderation policies to enhance free
speech.
Let’s see what is likely to
impact the S&P 500 index and other indices this
week.
Earnings season will be a key driver for S&P
500
Several companies, including
pharmaceutical heavyweights such as Pfizer
(NYSE: PFE), Moderna (NASDAQ: MRNA), and Eli Lilly
(NYSE:
LLY), will report Q3 earnings this week. Other
noteworthy companies that will report earnings include
Airbnb (NYSE: ABNB), Starbucks
(NASDAQ:
SBUX),
PayPal (NASDAQ:
PYPL), and Advanced Micro
Devices (NASDAQ:
AMD).
Investors will be closely
watching the guidance provided by each of these companies to gauge
consumer spending patterns and the impact of inflation as well as
rising interest rates on corporate earnings.
Several tech stocks underwhelmed
investors in the past week as enterprises continued to slow down
hiring and focus on lowering their cost structure.
Rate hikes likely to continue by the Fed
The policymakers of the U.S.
Federal Reserve will conduct a two-day meeting this Tuesday, which
is known as the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee). The U.S.
Central Bank is expected to raise benchmark rates by 75 basis
points to combat inflation.
In fact, the governing body has
tightened monetary policy at the fastest pace in more than four
decades, as rates have increased by 300 basis points since March
and might end the year at 4.5%.
The U.S. economy is extremely strong
Despite significant interest rate
hikes in 2022 and the rising cost of debt, the labor market in the
U.S. remains strong and continues to drive inflation higher. The
Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the Job Openings and Labor
Turnover Report for September this Tuesday. It tracks job openings,
hires, layoffs, and attrition details monthly. In August, job
openings fell to 10.05 million from a peak of 11.85 million in
March.
ADP, which is a leading payroll
services provider globally, will release the National Employment
report on Wednesday, tracking private sector payroll growth for
October. Private sector payrolls are expected to rise by 198,000 in
October compared to the 208,00 gain in the prior month and much
lower than the 457,000 gain in April.
This Friday, the BLS will report
an important economic indicator which is the nonfarm payrolls
report for October. The U.S. economy is expected to add 220,000
jobs in October compared to the 263,00 jobs added in
September.
Twitter (NYSE:TWTR)
Historical Stock Chart
From Oct 2024 to Nov 2024
Twitter (NYSE:TWTR)
Historical Stock Chart
From Nov 2023 to Nov 2024