(PIPE – TSX) Pipestone Energy Corp.
(
“Pipestone” or the
“Company”) is
pleased to provide an update on its operations, including record
quarterly production and free cash flow(1) and substantial
deleveraging during the fourth quarter; and to report its year-end
2022 independent reserves evaluation prepared by McDaniel &
Associates Consultants Ltd. (“
McDaniel”),
effective December 31, 2022 (the “
McDaniel
Report”).
Operational results and reserve updates are
consistent with Pipestone’s previously announced strategy of an
increased focus on enhancing shareholder returns, by moderating its
forecast average annual growth rate to ~10% over the next three
years and shifting its focus toward maximizing free cash flow(1)
generation so as to deliver shareholder
returns. (1) See
“Advisory Regarding Non-GAAP Measures – Non-GAAP Measures”
advisory.
Recent Corporate Highlights and Select
Unaudited 2022 Results:
All financial and operating information in this
press release for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31,
2022, such as production volumes, revenue, adjusted funds flow from
operations(1), free cash flow(1), capital expenditures, net debt(1)
and operating netback(1), are based on unaudited estimated results
and have not been reviewed by the Company’s auditors. These
estimates may be subject to change upon the completion of audited
financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2022 and
changes could be material. Pipestone anticipates filing its audited
financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2022, on SEDAR
on March 8th, 2023.
- Record Production
Volumes: Q4 2022 production achieved a corporate record
averaging 33,816 boe/d (30% condensate, 42% total liquids),
representing a 5% increase over Q3 2022, and an 18% increase over
Q4 2021. Based on field estimates, January 2023 production averaged
34,600 boe/d (30% condensate, 40% total liquids). Pipestone has not
brought any new wells on production since November 2022;
- 2022 Production Guidance
Achieved: 2022 production averaged 31,090 boe/d (29%
condensate, 41% total liquids) within the previously announced
guidance range of 31,000 – 33,000 boe/d;
- Fourth Quarter 2022
Revenue: As a result of increased production volumes, the
Company generated revenue of $185.4 million which represents a
$48.1 million or 35% increase from Q4 2021 revenue of $137.3
million and an $11.0 million or 6% increase from Q3 2022 revenue of
$174.4 million;
- Record Quarterly Free Cash
Flow(1): During the
fourth quarter, Pipestone generated $99.7 million of adjusted funds
flow from operations(1) ($0.36 per fully diluted share), which,
after $29.6 million in capital expenditures, resulted in $70.1
million of free cash flow(1) ($0.25 per fully diluted share);
- Significant
Deleveraging: During Q4 2022, the Company reduced its net
debt(1) by $62.8 million (~35%) from $180.2 million to $117.4
million, resulting in a year-end 2022 net debt(1) to 2022 cash flow
ratio of 0.3x; and
- 2023 Production
Guidance: The Company reaffirms its full year 2023
production guidance range of 34,000 – 36,000 boe/d, with 26 net
wells expected to be brought on stream, including six wells from
the 11-05 pad during the first quarter of
2023.(1) See "Advisory Regarding Non-GAAP Measures
– Non-GAAP measures" advisory.
Operations Update:
Development Map:
A chart accompanying this announcement is available at
https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/18b49eb0-8a8c-4f2e-9296-69c425769711
Production Update:
Based on field estimates, Pipestone delivered
record quarterly production of 33,816 boe/d (30% condensate, 42%
total liquids) during Q4 2022, resulting in full year 2022
production of 31,090 boe/d(1) (29% condensate, 41% total liquids)
which is within the previously announced guidance of 31,000 –
33,000 boe/d. Positive momentum has continued into Q1 2023, with
average January production of approximately 34,600 boe/d (30%
condensate, 40% total liquids). The Company reaffirms its full year
2023 production guidance range of 34,000 – 36,000 boe/d, with 26
net wells expected to be brought on-stream, including six wells
from the 11-05 pad during the first quarter of 2023.
Well Results:
During Q4 2022, Pipestone brought its two
eastern most delineation wells on stream at the 9-14 pad, one in
the Montney ‘B’ and one in the Lower Montney ‘D’ bench. Both wells
are trending at or above type curve expectations and demonstrate
the extent of highly economic resource potential in multiple
development benches across the asset. The Montney ‘B’ well has
achieved an IP90 of 4.3 MMcf/d raw gas + 283 bbls/d wellhead
condensate (condensate-gas-ratio (“CGR”) of 66
bbl/MMcf). The Lower Montney ‘D’ well has achieved an IP90 of 3.9
MMcf/d raw gas + 391 bbls/d wellhead condensate (CGR of 100
bbl/MMcf). Until early February, the Lower Montney ‘D’ well was
producing from only the first ~50% of its lateral length because of
a bridge plug installed during its initial testing phase. Since the
removal of this plug, the well has averaged 6.9 MMcf/d raw gas +
860 bbls/d wellhead condensate (CGR of ~125 bbl/MMcf) over the past
seven days.
Drilling & Completions Update:
Pipestone successfully executed on all of its
planned Q4 2022 development activities. During the quarter, the
Company drilled six wells on the 11-05 pad, which were subsequently
completed in late 2022 through January 2023. These wells are being
equipped and will be on production by the beginning of March. The
11-05 pad includes the longest wells drilled since inception, with
two wells drilled southeast off the pad at a lateral length of
approximately 4,500 metres. Increasing lateral length allows the
Company to minimize its surface footprint while simultaneously
driving positive drilling cost efficiencies. Pipestone currently
has two rigs drilling four wells on the 2-31 pad and four wells on
the 2-25 pad. Both pads will be completed during Q1 2023 with
expected on-stream timing of Q2 2023.
Delineation Activity:
Recently, competitors have demonstrated strong
results in the Montney volatile oil window offsetting the Company’s
southeastern acreage. In February, Pipestone will spud the first of
two planned delineation wells off the 11-09 pad in the southeast
portion of the Company’s acreage position, with frac operations to
follow immediately in Q1 of 2023. An existing well on the 11-09
pad, which was drilled and completed by Pipestone’s predecessor
company in 2018, achieved a last 24-hour test rate of 2.6 MMcf/d
raw gas + 855 bbls/d wellhead condensate (CGR of 329 bbl/MMcf).
2022 Independent Reserves
Evaluation(1):
- Pipestone delivered 32% growth in
Proved Developed Producing (“PDP”) reserves from
41 MMboe in 2021 to 53 MMboe in 2022 and achieved a finding &
development (“F&D”) cost of $10.16/boe,
coupled with a full year 2022 operating netback(1) of $40.96/boe
(exclusive of hedging losses) which drives a 2022 PDP F&D
recycle ratio(2) of 4.0x;
- Total Proved
(“1P”) reserves volumes are flat year-over-year at
~160 MMboe, with 100% of the Company’s 2022 production replaced.
Since December 31, 2019, the Company has grown its 1P reserves
volume from 112 MMboe to 160 MMboe (+47 MMboe / +42%), replacing
168% of production over that same period;
- Total Proved plus Probable
(“2P”) reserves volumes decreased year-over-year
from 275 MMboe to 230 MMboe (-45 MMboe / -16%). As announced in
November 2022, this reduction is attributable to both lower
expected absolute productivity and lower expectations for initial
and terminal CGRs on the go-forward development wells. Also as
previously announced, the majority of Pipestone’s Proved
Undeveloped locations at year-end 2022 carry a modified lower CGR
(VRGC1) type curve, with a reduction in the number of higher CGR
(VRGC2 & VRGC3) type curve booked locations remaining(3);
- Going forward, estimated
undeveloped 1P F&D cost (future development capital
(“FDC”) divided by Proved Undeveloped reserves) is
$11.68/boe and Undeveloped 2P F&D cost is $9.20/boe; and
- Updated 1P and 2P net asset value
per share (“NAVPS”)(4) of $4.61 and $6.70 per
basic share, respectively, utilizing a 10% discount rate at the
year-end 3-consultant (“3C”) average forecast
pricing. These NAVPS(4) values reflect a premium of 54% and 123%,
for 1P and 2P respectively, over the current share price(5) of
$3.00.
|
(1) |
2022 annual production volumes, capital expenditures and operating
netbacks referenced throughout this press release are unaudited.
All reserve volumes are reported on a net working interest, gross
of royalties basis. Operating netback is a non-GAAP measure – see
“Advisory Regarding Non-GAAP Measures – Non-GAAP measures”
advisory. |
|
(2) |
Recycle ratio is calculated by dividing operating netback per boe
by F&D costs per boe. 2022 operating netback (unaudited) used
to calculate recycle ratio is exclusive of realized hedging impacts
and is calculated as revenue less royalties, operating, and
transportation costs. Recycle ratio is a non-GAAP ratio and
operating netback is a Non-GAAP measure - see “Advisory Regarding
Non-GAAP Measures – Non-GAAP measures” and " – Non-GAAP ratios"
advisory . |
|
(3) |
Please refer to Pipestone’s updated February 2023 Corporate
presentation for further details on specific type curve
information, located at www.pipestonecorp.com. “VRGC” means very
rich gas condensate. |
|
(4) |
NAVPS is a non-GAAP ratio – see “Advisory Regarding Non-GAAP
Measures – Non-GAAP ratios”. |
|
(5) |
Current share price as at February 14, 2023. |
Year-End 2022 Reserve Results:
|
|
December 31, 2022(1) |
December 31,
2021(2) |
|
Total by
Category |
|
Volume |
Weight |
|
Volume |
Weight |
|
Chg. |
|
Proved Developed Producing |
Mboe |
53,343 |
23 |
% |
40,510 |
15 |
% |
32 |
% |
Proved Developed Non-Producing |
Mboe |
961 |
0 |
% |
4,394 |
2 |
% |
(78 |
%) |
Proved Undeveloped |
Mboe |
105,624 |
46 |
% |
115,244 |
42 |
% |
(8 |
%) |
Total
Proved |
Mboe |
159,928 |
69 |
% |
160,148 |
58 |
% |
0 |
% |
Probable |
Mboe |
70,369 |
31 |
% |
115,075 |
42 |
% |
(39 |
%) |
Total Proved +
Probable |
Mboe |
230,297 |
100 |
% |
275,223 |
100 |
% |
(16 |
%) |
|
(1) |
Volumes calculated using the 3C average forecast pricing as of
January 1, 2023. The 3C average forecast pricing includes pricing
forecasts from McDaniel, GLJ Ltd. and Sproule Associates
Limited. |
|
(2) |
Volumes calculated using the 3C
average forecast pricing as of January 1, 2022. |
2022 Independent Reserves Evaluation:
The McDaniel Report was prepared in accordance
with definitions, standards, and procedures contained in the
Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook and NationaI Instrument
51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities. The
McDaniel Report was based on 3C average forecast pricing and
foreign exchange rates at January 1, 2023, as outlined in this
press release.
Reserves included herein are stated on a company
gross basis (working interest before deduction of royalties without
the inclusion of any royalty interest) unless otherwise noted. In
addition to the information disclosed in this news release, more
detailed information will be included in Pipestone’s annual
information form for the year ended December 31, 2022, which will
be available on the Company’s website at www.pipestonecorp.com and
on SEDAR at www.sedar.com on or before March 31, 2023.
Company Gross (before royalties) Working
Interest Reserves:
|
2022 Year-End Reserves (Working
Interest)(1) |
|
|
|
Natural Gas |
Total |
|
Tight Oil |
Shale Gas |
Liquids(2) |
Company |
Reserve Category |
(Mbbl) |
(MMcf) |
(Mbbl) |
(Mboe) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
25 |
191,143 |
21,460 |
53,342 |
Developed Non-Producing |
- |
3,297 |
412 |
961 |
Undeveloped |
- |
366,315 |
44,572 |
105,624 |
Total
Proved |
25 |
560,755 |
66,443 |
159,928 |
Total
Probable |
6 |
246,512 |
29,277 |
70,369 |
Total Proved +
Probable(3) |
32 |
807,267 |
95,721 |
230,297 |
|
(1) |
Volumes calculated using the 3C average forecast pricing as of
January 1, 2023. |
|
(2) |
Natural Gas Liquids includes
condensate volumes. Booked 2P condensate volumes (including
pentanes plus) are 66,584 Mbbls as at December 31, 2022. |
|
(3) |
Amounts may not add due to
rounding. |
Company Net Present Value of Future Net Revenue
Using 3C Average Pricing Forecast (1):
|
Before Income Taxes |
$C Millions |
Discount Factor (% / Year) |
Reserve Category |
|
0% |
|
|
5% |
|
|
10% |
|
|
15% |
|
|
20% |
|
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
$929 |
|
$796 |
|
$695 |
|
$619 |
|
$562 |
|
Developed Non-Producing |
$22 |
|
$19 |
|
$18 |
|
$16 |
|
$15 |
|
Undeveloped |
$1,378 |
|
$965 |
|
$696 |
|
$514 |
|
$387 |
|
Total
Proved(2) |
$2,329 |
|
$1,780 |
|
$1,409 |
|
$1,150 |
|
$964 |
|
Probable |
$1,271 |
|
$831 |
|
$585 |
|
$438 |
|
$344 |
|
Total Proved +
Probable(2) |
$3,600 |
|
$2,611 |
|
$1,994 |
|
$1,588 |
|
$1,308 |
|
|
(1) |
Calculated using the 3C average pricing forecast as of January 1,
2023. |
|
(2) |
Amounts may not add due to
rounding. |
FDC and F&D Costs:
FDC reflects McDaniel’s best estimate of the
future cost to bring Pipestone’s proved and probable developed and
undeveloped reserves on production. Changes in forecasted FDC occur
annually as a result of development activities, acquisition and
disposition activities, changes in capital cost estimates based on
improvements in well design and performance, and changes in service
costs. Undiscounted 2P FDC at December 31, 2022 increased
by $488 million relative to December 31, 2021, to
total $1,477 million. The year-over-year increase in FDC
incorporates capital cost inflation expectations, increased average
completion scope, as well as incremental facilities capital to
improve base production performance and reduce long-term operating
costs.
|
|
Total Proved |
|
Total Proved |
+ Probable |
Year |
(C$MM) |
(C$MM) |
2023 |
$243 |
$243 |
2024 |
$287 |
$287 |
2025 |
$279 |
$279 |
2026 |
$257 |
$257 |
2027 |
$138 |
$172 |
Remainder Thereafter |
$30 |
$240 |
Total FDC
Undiscounted(1) |
$1,234 |
$1,477 |
Total FDC Discounted
(10%) |
$997 |
$1,132 |
|
(1) |
Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
Proved Developed Producing |
|
|
Year |
PDP Reserves (Mboe) |
Production (Mboe) |
Change in PDP (Mboe) |
Capital Expenditures ($MM) |
F&D Cost ($/boe) |
Operating Netback (1)
(Estimated) ($/boe) |
Recycle Ratio(2) |
|
|
2019 |
18,529 |
1,738 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
31,735 |
5,683 |
18,889 |
$105 |
$5.54 |
$8.49 |
1.5x |
|
|
2021 |
40,510 |
8,973 |
17,748 |
$187 |
$10.53 |
$27.72 |
2.6x |
|
|
2022 |
53,343 |
11,348 |
24,181 |
$246 |
$10.16 |
$40.96 |
4.0x |
|
|
3-Year Weighted Average: |
|
|
$ |
8.83 |
$ |
29.30 |
3.3x |
|
|
Total Proved |
|
Year |
Proved Reserves (Mboe) |
Production (Mboe) |
Change in Proved Reserves (Mboe) |
CAPEX($MM) |
FDC ($MM) |
F&D Cost (No FDC) ($/boe) |
F&D Cost (with FDC) ($/boe) |
Operating Netback(1)
($/boe) |
Recycle Ratio(2)(No
FDC) |
Recycle Ratio(2)(with
FDC) |
2019 |
112,495 |
1,738 |
|
|
$790 |
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
113,977 |
5,683 |
27,165 |
|
$105 |
$640 |
$3.85 |
|
($1.67 |
) |
$8.49 |
2.2x |
(5.1x) |
2021 |
160,148 |
8,973 |
35,144 |
|
$187 |
$708 |
$5.32 |
|
$7.25 |
|
$27.72 |
5.2x |
3.8x |
2022 |
159,928 |
11,348 |
11,128 |
|
$246 |
$1,234 |
$22.08 |
|
$69.34 |
|
$40.96 |
1.9x |
0.6x |
3-Year Weighted Average: |
|
|
|
$7.31 |
|
$13.36 |
|
$29.30 |
4.0x |
2.2x |
Total Proved + Probable |
|
Year |
2P Reserves (Mboe) |
Production (Mboe) |
Change in 2P Reserves (Mboe) |
CAPEX($MM) |
FDC ($MM) |
F&D Cost (No FDC) ($/boe) |
F&D Cost (with FDC) ($/boe) |
Operating Netback(1)
($/boe) |
Recycle Ratio(2)(No
FDC) |
Recycle Ratio(2)(with
FDC) |
2019 |
183,585 |
1,738 |
|
|
$1,114 |
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
227,672 |
5,683 |
49,770 |
|
$105 |
$936 |
$2.10 |
|
($1.48 |
) |
$8.49 |
4.0x |
(5.8x) |
2021 |
275,223 |
8,973 |
56,524 |
|
$187 |
$989 |
$3.31 |
|
$4.21 |
|
$27.72 |
8.4x |
6.5x |
2022 |
230,297 |
11,348 |
(33,578 |
) |
$246 |
$1,477 |
($7.32 |
) |
($21.86 |
) |
$40.96 |
(5.6x) |
(1.9)x |
3-Year Weighted Average: |
|
|
|
$7.39 |
|
$12.38 |
|
$29.30 |
4.0x |
2.4x |
|
(1) |
2022 Operating netback (unaudited) used to calculate recycle ratio
is exclusive of realized hedging impacts and is calculated as
revenue less royalties, operating, and transportation costs.
Operating netback is a non-GAAP measure, see “Advisory Regarding
Non-GAAP Measures – Non-GAAP measures” advisory. |
|
(2) |
Recycle ratio is a Non-GAAP ratio – see “Advisory Regarding
Non-GAAP Measures – Non-GAAP ratios”. |
1P / 2P Future Undeveloped F&D Costs |
|
|
Proved Undeveloped |
|
|
1P Future Development Capital |
$MM |
$1,234 |
Proved Undeveloped Reserves |
Mboe |
105,624 |
1P F&D |
$/boe |
$11.68 |
|
|
|
Proved +
Probable |
|
|
2P Future Development Capital |
$MM |
$1,477 |
Proved + Probable Undeveloped Reserves |
Mboe |
160,652 |
2P F&D |
$/boe |
$9.19 |
Annual Reserve Reconciliation
|
Tight Oil |
|
Natural Gas |
|
Natural Gas Liquids(1) |
|
Company Total |
|
Company Gross |
(Mbbl) |
|
(MMcf) |
|
(Mbbl) |
|
(Mboe) |
|
Proved Developed Producing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2021 |
22.7 |
|
145,910 |
|
16,169 |
|
40,510 |
|
Extensions |
- |
|
1,478 |
|
328 |
|
574 |
|
Economic Factors |
10.5 |
|
11,325 |
|
1,126 |
|
3,024 |
|
Technical Revisions |
26.0 |
|
(3,483 |
) |
(161 |
) |
(716 |
) |
Technical Revisions - PUD Transfer |
- |
|
75,910 |
|
8,646 |
|
21,298 |
|
Production |
(33.9 |
) |
(39,997 |
) |
(4,648 |
) |
(11,348 |
) |
Balance - December 31,
2022(2) |
25.3 |
|
191,143 |
|
21,460 |
|
53,343 |
|
Total Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2021 |
22.7 |
|
553,877 |
|
67,813 |
|
160,148 |
|
Extensions |
- |
|
129,578 |
|
18,302 |
|
39,899 |
|
Economic Factors |
10.5 |
|
19,490 |
|
2,075 |
|
5,334 |
|
Technical Revisions |
26 |
|
(78,760 |
) |
(13,052 |
) |
(26,153 |
) |
Technical Revision - PUD Transfer |
- |
|
(23,434 |
) |
(4,047 |
) |
(7,953 |
) |
Production |
(33.9 |
) |
(39,997 |
) |
(4,648 |
) |
(11,348 |
) |
Balance - December 31,
2022(2) |
25.3 |
|
560,755 |
|
66,443 |
|
159,928 |
|
Total Probable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2021 |
6.9 |
|
403,757 |
|
47,775 |
|
115,075 |
|
Extensions |
- |
|
(28,101 |
) |
(2,138 |
) |
(6,821 |
) |
Economic Factors |
35.6 |
|
14,425 |
|
1,569 |
|
4,008 |
|
Technical Revisions |
(36.0 |
) |
(133,395 |
) |
(16,349 |
) |
(38,618 |
) |
Technical Revision - PUD Transfer |
- |
|
(10,174 |
) |
(1,580 |
) |
(3,275 |
) |
Production |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Balance - December 31,
2022(2) |
6.5 |
|
246,512 |
|
29,277 |
|
70,369 |
|
Proved + Probable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance - December 31, 2021 |
29.5 |
|
957,632 |
|
115,588 |
|
275,223 |
|
Extensions |
- |
|
101,477 |
|
16,165 |
|
33,077 |
|
Economic Factors |
46.1 |
|
33,916 |
|
3,644 |
|
9,342 |
|
Technical Revisions |
(10.0 |
) |
(212,156 |
) |
(29,401 |
) |
(64,770 |
) |
Technical Revision - PUD Transfer |
- |
|
(33,608 |
) |
(5,627 |
) |
(11,228 |
) |
Production |
(33.9 |
) |
(39,997 |
) |
(4,648 |
) |
(11,348 |
) |
Balance - December 31,
2022(2) |
31.7 |
|
807,267 |
|
95,721 |
|
230,297 |
|
|
(1) |
Natural gas liquids includes condensate volumes. Booked 2P
condensate volumes (including pentanes plus) are 66,584 Mbbls as of
December 31, 2022. |
|
(2) |
Amounts may not add due to
rounding. |
Pre-Tax Net Asset Value – Excludes Unbooked Land
Value:
|
As at December 31, 2022 |
|
|
Total |
|
Total Proved |
|
$C Millions |
Proved |
|
and Probable |
|
Reserves, Before-Tax NPV10%
(3C Price Forecast) |
$1,409 |
|
$1,994 |
|
(-) Abandonment Obligations
(Estimated) |
($14 |
) |
($14 |
) |
(-) Mark-to-Market of
Hedges(1) |
$7 |
|
$7 |
|
(-) Net Debt
(Estimated)(2) |
($117 |
) |
($117 |
) |
= Implied Net Asset
Value |
$1,285 |
|
$1,870 |
|
Fully
Diluted Shares Outstanding (millions)(3) |
279 |
|
279 |
|
Net Asset Value per
Share ($/share) |
$4.61 |
|
$6.70 |
|
Note: The above net asset value excludes any
additional land value for approximately 50 net sections of unbooked
undeveloped land, which represents approximately 35% of the
Company’s total land base.
|
(1) |
Mark-to-market calculation reflects commodity prices as at December
31, 2022. |
|
(2) |
Net debt represents bank debt and the addition of working capital
excluding dividends payable. Net Debt is a non-GAAP measure – see
“Advisory Regarding Non-GAAP Measures – Non-Gap measures”
advisory. |
|
(3) |
Fully diluted shares outstanding as at December 31, 2022. |
Q4 2022 and Full Year 2022 Financial
Results Conference Call
Fourth quarter and full year 2022 results are
expected to be released before market open on March 8, 2023. A
conference call has been scheduled for March 8, 2023 at 10:00 a.m
Mountain Time (12:00 p.m Eastern Time) for interested investors,
analysts, brokers, and media representatives.
Conference Call Details:
Please use the following participant URL to
register for the Q4 2022 financial results conference call:
https://register.vevent.com/register/BIf2529ca87a7949c8bece6d62670b175b.
This registration link can also be found on the Company’s website.
This link will provide each registrant with a toll-free dial-in
number and a unique PIN to connect to the call.
Pipestone Energy Corp.
Pipestone is an oil and gas exploration and
production company focused on developing its large contiguous and
condensate rich Montney asset base in the Pipestone area near
Grande Prairie. Pipestone is committed to building long term value
for our shareholders while maintaining the highest possible
environmental and operating standards, as well as being an active
and contributing member to the communities in which it operates.
Pipestone has achieved certification of all its production from its
Montney asset under the Equitable Origin EO100TM Standard for
Responsible Energy Development. Pipestone shares trade under the
symbol PIPE on the TSX. For more information, visit
www.pipestonecorp.com.
Pipestone Energy Contacts:
Paul WanklynPresident and Chief Executive Officer(587)
392-8407paul.wanklyn@pipestonecorp.com |
Craig NieboerChief Financial Officer(587)
392-8408craig.nieboer@pipestonecorp.com |
Dan van KesselVP Corporate Development(587)
392-8414dan.vankessel@pipestonecorp.com |
|
Advisory Regarding Non-GAAP
Measures
Non-GAAP measures
This press release includes references to
financial measures commonly used in the oil and natural gas
industry. The terms ”adjusted funds flow from operations”, “free
cash flow”, “operating netback”, “net debt”, “NAVPS” and “recycle
ratio” are not defined under IFRS, which have been incorporated
into Canadian GAAP, as set out in Part 1 of the Chartered
Professional Accountants Canada Handbook – Accounting, are not
separately defined under GAAP, and may not be comparable with
similar measures presented by other companies. The reconciliations
of these non-GAAP measures to the nearest GAAP measure are
discussed in the MD&A dated November 9, 2022, a copy of which
is available electronically on Pipestone’s SEDAR profile at
www.sedar.com.
Management of the Company believes the
presentation of non-GAAP measures and non-GAAP ratios provides
useful information to investors and shareholders as the measures
provide increased transparency and the opportunity to better
analyze and compare performance against prior periods.
Adjusted funds flow from operations
“Adjusted funds flow from operations” is a
non-GAAP measure that is calculated as cash from operating
activities before changes in non-cash working capital, cash
share-based compensation and decommissioning provision costs
incurred, if applicable and is not defined under IFRS. Adjusted
funds flow from operations should not be considered an alternative
to, or more meaningful than, cash from operating activities, income
(loss) or other measures determined in accordance with IFRS as an
indicator of the Company’s performance. Management uses adjusted
funds flow from operations to analyze operating performance and
leverage and believes it is a useful supplemental measure as it
provides an indication of the funds generated by Pipestone Energy’s
principal business activities prior to consideration of changes in
working capital, cash share-based compensation and decommissioning
provision costs incurred.
Free cash flow
“Free cash flow” is a non-GAAP measure that is
calculated as cash from operating activities plus the change in
non-cash working capital and cash share-based compensation less
capital expenditures, and is not defined under IFRS. Free cash flow
should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful
than, cash from operating activities as determined in accordance
with IFRS as an indicator of financial performance. Free cash flow
is presented to assist management of the Company and investors in
analyzing operating performance by the business and how much cash
flow is available for deleveraging and/or shareholder returns in
the stated period after capital expenditures have been
incurred.
Operating netback
“Operating netback” is a non-GAAP measure that
is calculated on either a total dollar or per-unit-of-production
basis and is determined by deducting royalties, operating and
transportation expenses from liquids and natural gas sales adjusted
for realized gains/losses on commodity risk management
contracts.
Operating netback is a common metric used in the
oil and natural gas industry and is used by the Company’s
management to measure operating results on a per boe basis to
better analyze and compare performance against prior periods, as
well as formulate comparisons against peers. This measure should
not be considered an alternative to or more meaningful than cash
from operating activities as determined in accordance with IFRS as
an indicator of financial performance.
Net debt
“Net debt” is a non-GAAP measure that equals
bank debt outstanding plus adjusted working capital excluding
dividends payable. Net debt is considered to be a useful measure in
assisting management of the Company and investors to evaluate
Pipestone’s financial strength.
Non-GAAP ratios
NAVPS
NAVPS is a non-GAAP ratio calculated as the
before-tax NPV for 1P and 2P reserves discounted at 10%, less
abandonment obligations, mark-to-market of hedges and net debt
divided by the fully diluted common shares outstanding as at
December 31, 2022. Net debt, a non-GAAP measure, is used as a
component of the non-GAAP ratio. Management uses NAVPS as a measure
to evaluate and compare its current share price to the net asset
value per share of its Total Proved and Total Proved plus Probable
reserves.
Recycle Ratio
Recycle ratio is a non-GAAP ratio calculated by
dividing the operating netback, excluding realized hedging impacts,
by the F&D cost per boe for the year. Operating netback, a
non-GAAP measure, is used as a component of the non-GAAP ratio.
Recycle ratio is considered to be a useful measure in the oil and
gas industry which management uses to evaluate the efficiency of
its capital program by comparing the Company’s operating netback to
its F&D cost per boe for the year.
Advisory Regarding
Forward-Looking Statements
In the interest of providing shareholders of
Pipestone and potential investors information regarding Pipestone,
this news release contains certain information and statements
(“forward-looking statements”) that constitute forward-looking
information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities
laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future results or
events, are based upon internal plans, intentions, expectations and
beliefs, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause
actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated
or suggested therein. All statements other than statements of
current or historical fact constitute forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are typically, but not always,
identified by words such as “anticipate”, “estimate”, “expect”,
“intend”, “forecast”, “continue”, “propose”, “may”, “will”,
“should”, “believe”, “plan”, “target”, “objective”, “project”,
“potential” and similar or other expressions indicating or
suggesting future results or events.
Forward-looking statements are not promises of
future outcomes. There is no assurance that the results or events
indicated or suggested by the forward-looking statements, or the
plans, intentions, expectations or beliefs contained therein or
upon which they are based, are correct or will in fact occur or be
realized (or if they do, what benefits Pipestone may derive
therefrom).
In particular, but without limiting the
foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking statements
pertaining to: expected timing for filing Pipestone's audited
financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2022; the
expectation that 26 net wells will be brought on stream in the
first quarter of 2023; expectations regarding the resource
potential in the Montney 'B' and Montney 'D' bench; expected timing
for equipping and bringing the the 11-05 pad wells on production;
expected timing for completing the 2-31 pad and the 2-25 pad and
bringing them on-stream; and Pipestone's plan to spud two planned
delineation wells off the 11-09 pad and expected timing for frac
operations. In addition, statements relating to reserves are deemed
to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied
assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the
reserves described can be profitably produced in the future.
With respect to the forward-looking statements
contained in this news release, Pipestone has assessed material
factors and made assumptions regarding, among other things: future
commodity prices and currency exchange rates, including consistency
of future oil, NGLs and natural gas prices with current commodity
price forecasts; Pipestone’s continued ability to obtain qualified
staff and equipment in a timely and cost-efficient manner; the
predictability of future results based on past and current
experience; the predictability and consistency of the legislative
and regulatory regime governing royalties, taxes, environmental
matters and oil and gas operations, both provincially and
federally; Pipestone’s ability to successfully market its
production of oil, NGLs and natural gas; the timing and success of
drilling and completion activities (and the extent to which the
results thereof meet expectations); Pipestone’s future production
levels and amount of future capital investment, and their
consistency with Pipestone’s current development plans and budget;
future capital expenditure requirements and the sufficiency thereof
to achieve Pipestone’s objectives; the successful application of
drilling and completion technology and processes; the applicability
of new technologies for recovery and production of Pipestone’s
reserves and other resources, and their ability to improve capital
and operational efficiencies in the future; the recoverability of
Pipestone 's reserves and other resources; Pipestone’s ability to
economically produce oil and gas from its properties and the timing
and cost to do so; the performance of both new and existing wells;
future cash flows from production; future sources of funding for
Pipestone’s capital program, and its ability to obtain external
financing when required and on acceptable terms; future debt
levels; geological and engineering estimates in respect of
Pipestone’s reserves and other resources; the accuracy of
geological and geophysical data and the interpretation thereof; the
geography of the areas in which Pipestone conducts exploration and
development activities; the timely receipt of required regulatory
approvals; the access, economic, regulatory and physical
limitations to which Pipestone may be subject from time to time;
and the impact of industry competition.
The forward-looking statements contained herein
reflect management of the Company's current views, but the
assessments and assumptions upon which they are based may prove to
be incorrect. Although Pipestone believes that its underlying
assessments and assumptions are reasonable based on currently
available information, undue reliance should not be placed on
forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain, depend
upon the accuracy of such assessments and assumptions, and are
subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other
factors, both general and specific, many of which are beyond
Pipestone’s control, that may cause actual results or events to
differ materially from those indicated or suggested in the
forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include,
but are not limited to, volatility in market prices and demand for
oil, NGLs and natural gas and hedging activities related thereto;
the ability to successfully manage the Company's operations;
general economic, business and industry conditions; variance of
Pipestone’s actual capital costs, operating costs and economic
returns from those anticipated; the ability to find, develop or
acquire additional reserves and the availability of the capital or
financing necessary to do so on satisfactory terms; and the
availability of sufficient natural gas processing capacity; and
risks related to the exploration, development and production of oil
and natural gas reserves. Additional risks, uncertainties and other
factors are discussed in the MD&A dated November 9, 2022 and in
Pipestone’s annual information form dated March 9, 2022, copies of
which are available electronically on Pipestone’s SEDAR at
www.sedar.com.
The forward-looking statements contained in this
news release are made as of the date hereof and Pipestone assumes
no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise,
unless required by applicable securities laws. All forward-looking
statements herein are expressly qualified by this advisory.
Advisories Regarding Oil and Gas
Information
Basis of Barrel of Oil Equivalent
Petroleum and natural gas reserves and
production volumes are stated as a “barrel of oil equivalent”
(boe), derived by converting natural gas to oil equivalency in the
ratio of 6,000 cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. Readers are
cautioned that boe figures may be misleading, particularly if used
in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6,000 cubic feet of gas to
one barrel of oil is based on energy equivalency, which is
primarily applicable at the burner tip, and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead.
Initial Production Rates and Short-Term Test
Rates
Any references in this news release to test
rates of production or initial production rates for certain wells
over short periods of time (i.e. IP90 and other short-term
periods), are preliminary and not determinative of the rates at
which those or any other wells will commence production and
thereafter decline. Short-term test rates are not necessarily
indicative of long-term well or reservoir performance or of
ultimate recovery. Although such rates are useful in confirming the
presence of hydrocarbons, they are preliminary in nature, are
subject to a high degree of predictive uncertainty as a result of
limited data availability and may not be representative of
stabilized on-stream production rates. Initial production rates
indicate the average daily production over the indicated daily
period.
Production over a longer period will also
experience natural decline rates, which can be high in the Montney
play and may not be consistent over the longer term with the
decline experienced over an initial production period. Initial
production or test rates may also include recovered “load” fluids
used in well completion stimulation operations. Actual results will
differ from those realized during an initial production period or
short-term test period, and the difference may be material. While
encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such
rates in calculating the aggregate production for Pipestone.
Accordingly, Pipestone cautions that the test results should be
considered to be preliminary.
Production
References to natural gas and condensate
production in this news release refer to the shale gas and natural
gas liquids (which includes condensate), respectively, product
types as defined in National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities. References to liquids
include tight oil and NGLs (including condensate, butane and
propane).
CGR
Any references herein to “CGR” mean
condensate/gas ratio and is expressed as a volume of condensate
(expressed in barrels) per million cubic feet (mmcf) of natural
gas.
F&D Costs
The calculation of F&D costs includes all
exploration and development capital for the year plus the change in
future development capital for the year. This total capital
including the change in future development capital is divided by
the change in reserves for the year.
Abbreviations
The following summarizes the abbreviations used
in this document:
Crude Oil, Condensate and other Natural Gas Liquids and
Natural Gas |
bbl |
barrel |
MMboe |
Million barrels of oil equivalent |
bbls/d |
barrels per day |
NGL |
natural gas liquids, consisting of ethane (C2), propane (C3) and
butane (C4) |
boe |
barrel of oil equivalent |
condensate |
Pentanes plus (C5+) separated at the field level and C5+ separated
from the NGL mix at the facility level |
boe/d |
barrel of oil equivalent per day |
Mcf |
thousand cubic feet |
GJ |
Gigajoule; 1 Mcf of natural gas is about 1.05 GJ |
MMcf |
million cubic feet |
Mboe |
thousand barrels of oil equivalent |
MMcf/d |
million cubic feet per day |
Mboe/d |
thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day |
|
|
Other Abbreviations |
adjusted working capital |
working capital (current assets less current liabilities),
excluding financial derivative instruments and lease
liabilities |
C$ |
Canadian dollars |
GAAP |
generally accepted accounting principles |
IFRS |
International Financial Reporting Standards |
Q1 |
first quarter ended March 31st |
Q2 |
second quarter ended June 30th |
Q3 |
third quarter ended September 30th |
Q4 |
fourth quarter ended December 31st |
TSX |
Toronto Stock Exchange |
US$ |
United States dollars |
WTI |
West Texas Intermediate |
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