Parex Resources Inc. (“Parex” or the “Company”) (TSX: PXT) is
pleased to publish its 2024 budget alongside an updated three-year
outlook, announce positive test results at its Arauca-8 exploration
well (50% W.I.), and provide its estimated 2023 full-year and
fourth quarter average production.
All amounts herein are in United States Dollars
(“USD”) unless otherwise stated.
Key Highlights
- Targeting
FY 2024 average production of 57,000 boe/d, which is forecast to be
5% year-over-year growth.
- Budgeting
FY 2024 capital expenditures(2) of $410 million, which is expected
to be approximately 15% lower than 2023.
- Expecting
to generate approximately $625 million of funds flow provided by
operations (“FFO”)(3) and roughly $215 million of free funds flow
(“FFF”)(2) in 2024 at the midpoint of guidance based on $75/bbl
Brent.
- Updated
three-year outlook for 2024 through 2026, where annual average
production growth is targeted at 5% or higher, excluding
high-impact, big ‘E’ exploration potential.
- Discovery
at the Arauca-8 exploration well (50% W.I.) where two zones have
been successfully tested, with two zones still to be tested in the
coming weeks(4).
- Achieved
record FY and Q4 average production of 54,356 boe/d and 57,329
boe/d, respectively, in 2023(1).
“Our plan for the year builds on the work
completed in 2023 and is focused on increasing overall cash that
can be used to reward shareholders. This will be achieved not only
through increasing total production, but also through a reduction
in year-over-year capital expenditures and the deployment of
inventory from our balance sheet. I am optimistic about the
promising outcomes that we have seen at Arauca, which are laying
the foundation for further follow-ups in an area where we see
significant potential,” commented Imad Mohsen, President &
Chief Executive Officer.
2024 Budget
- Program
includes approximately 35 gross wells, with a targeted capital
expenditure(2) guidance range of $390 to $430 million.
-
Approximately 75% of capital expenditures(2) are focused on
investments in operated blocks.
- Average
annual production is expected to be approximately 54,000 to 60,000
boe/d, representing 5% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.
- FFF(2) is
estimated to be approximately $215 million at the midpoint guidance
based on $75/bbl Brent; after paying the Company’s current regular
dividend of C$1.50 per share annualized, which is currently
forecast to be roughly $115 million in 2024, leaves an estimated
$100 million for further returns to shareholders through regular
dividends and share repurchases; additionally, the Company expects
to deploy $30 to $50 million of long-lead material and equipment
inventory from its balance sheet during the year.
- In due
course, the Company will submit a notice of intention to make a
normal course issuer bid to the Toronto Stock Exchange for calendar
2024.
- Capital
plan includes spudding three high-impact, big ‘E’ exploration wells
(Blocks: LLA-122, LLA-38 & VIM-1 – 50% W.I.), all of which have
the potential to be transformational opportunities for the
Company.
(1) See “Production Update – 2023 Review” for a breakdown of
production by product type.(2) Non-GAAP financial measure. See
“Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Advisory.”(3) Capital
management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Advisory.”(4) See “Arauca Update” for oil and gas testing
disclosure; see also “Oil & Gas Matters Advisory.”
2024 Corporate Guidance
The following table summarizes the Company’s
2024 annual guidance.
Category |
2024 Guidance |
Brent Crude Oil Average Price |
$75/bbl |
Average Production |
54,000-60,000 boe/d |
Funds Flow Provided by Operations Netback(1)(2) |
$29-31/boe |
Funds Flow Provided by Operations(3) |
$590-660 million |
Capital Expenditures(4) |
$390-430 million |
Free Funds Flow(4) |
$215 million (midpoint) |
(1) Non-GAAP ratio. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Advisory”.(2) 2024 assumptions: Vasconia differential: ~$4/bbl;
production expense: $10-12/bbl; transportation expense: ~$3.50/bbl;
G&A expense: ~$3.50/bbl; effective tax rate: 19-21%.(3) Capital
management measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Advisory”.(4) Non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures Advisory”.
2024 Netback Sensitivity Estimates
Brent Crude Oil Price ($/bbl) |
$65 |
$75 |
$85 |
Effective Tax Rate |
10-12% |
19-21% |
25-27% |
Funds Flow Provided by Operations Netback(1) |
$25-27/boe |
$29-31/boe |
$31-33/boe |
(1) Non-GAAP ratio. See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Advisory”.
2024 Capital Expenditure Breakdown and Activity Overview
Category |
Total Capital Expenditures(1)
(Midpoint) |
Notable Planned Activity |
Development Activities |
$210MM |
- Arauca
(50% W.I.): Sidetracking Arauca-15 and one follow-up, as well as
one follow-up for Arauca-8(2).
- Capachos
(50% W.I.): One infill well; recompletion of the Andina-3
well.
- Southern
Llanos Exploitation: One horizontal well at LLA-30 (100% W.I.) and
three follow-up wells at LLA-32 (87.5% W.I.).
-
Cabrestero (100% W.I.): Ramping up total injected volume for
pressure maintenance with facility expanded by 50% and starting
polymer flooding; multiple recompletions.
- LLA-34
(55% W.I.): 15-20 gross wells, including horizontal and vertical
producers as well as injectors; multiple recompletions.
|
Development Facilities |
$90MM |
- Arauca
(50% W.I.): Constructing phase one of the oil and water treatment
facility as well as building interfield flow lines.
- VIM-1
(50% W.I.): Initiating phase one expansion of the La Belleza
facility to increase gas processing capacity from 20,000 to 30,000
mmcf/d.
- LLA-34
(55% W.I.): Upgrading total fluid handling capacity by
120,000-160,000 bbl per day at the Jacana and Tigana fields;
further electrical interconnections.
|
Near-Field Exploration |
$40MM |
-
Approximately five higher chance of success prospects that are
complementary to the big ‘E’ exploration program: wells to be
drilled at Capachos (50% W.I.), Fortuna (50% W.I.), LLA-32 (87.5%
W.I.), and LLA-74 (100% W.I.).
|
Big ‘E’ Exploration |
$50MM |
- LLA-122
(50% W.I.) – Arantes well (spud in Q1 2024).
- VIM-1
(50% W.I.) – Hydra well (Q2-Q3 2024 spud).
- LLA-38
(50% W.I.) – Berilo Oeste well (Q4 2024 spud).
- Seismic
acquisition program focused on newer blocks in the Southern
Llanos.
|
Carry Capital |
$20MM |
- Primarily
relates to the Arauca and LLA-38 farm-in agreement with Ecopetrol
S.A., as previously announced on July 7, 2021.
|
(1) Non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures Advisory”.(2) Subject to the required
approvals.
Near-Field Exploration
In 2024, Parex is planning to drill
approximately five near-field exploration targets across various
strategic blocks. By focusing on three-way closure targets
identified through 3D seismic analysis, the identified targets have
a higher chance of success and are complementary to the Company’s
unchanged big ‘E’ exploration strategy that has higher risk and
reward characteristics.
Big ‘E’ Exploration – High-Impact Targets with
Transformational Potential
- Llanos Foothills –
LLA-122 (50% W.I.): The Arantes well is targeting gas and
condensate in the high-potential Foothills trend of Colombia, where
historical pool sizes are significant, and wells can be extremely
prolific. This prospect was spud in early January 2024 with
preliminary results expected in H1 2024.
- Magdalena – VIM-1
(50% W.I.): The Hydra well is targeting gas and condensate on the
VIM-1 Block where Parex previously had the material La Belleza
discovery in 2018. Parex plans to utilize new seismic processing
technology to drill this prospect, which is expected to spud
mid-year 2024.
- Northern Llanos –
LLA-38 (50% W.I.): The Berilo Oeste well is targeting light crude
oil and gas on an adjacent trend to Arauca. This multi-zone
prospect is targeting the same zones as the Arauca-8 well where
Parex has seen positive test results. This prospect is expected to
spud in Q4 2024.
Production Update
2023 Review
Average Production |
For the three months ended December 31 |
For the year ended December 31 |
Product Type |
2023(1) |
2022 |
2023(1) |
2022 |
Light & Medium Crude Oil (bbl/d) |
9,700 |
10,511 |
8,417 |
7,471 |
Heavy Crude Oil (bbl/d) |
46,760 |
42,746 |
45,163 |
43,008 |
Conventional Natural Gas (mcf/d) |
5,212 |
6,000 |
4,656 |
9,420 |
Oil Equivalent (boe/d)(2) |
57,329 |
54,257 |
54,356 |
52,049 |
(1) Production volumes for the three months ended
December 31, 2023, and for the year-ended December 31,
2023, are estimated.(2) Reference to crude oil or natural gas in
the above table and elsewhere in this press release refer to the
light and medium crude oil and heavy crude oil and conventional
natural gas, respectively, product types as defined in National
Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities.
Parex’s Q4 2023 average production was 57,329 boe/d, which was
an increase of 6% from Q4 2022. During the quarter, the Company
experienced multiple factors that led to production being lower
than Management’s expectations, including, but not limited to,
slower onstream timing because of extended testing and operational
setbacks, as well as higher-than expected water cut on a single
high-rate well.
Arauca (Business Collaboration Agreement with
Ecopetrol S.A. (Parex 50% Participating Share)) Update(1)
“Overall, the initial results that we are seeing
from the first two wells at Arauca are promising. The Arauca-8 well
has successfully tested the first two zones with discoveries in
each, with two more zones to test where logging and pressure
measurements show the presence of oil – while the Arauca-15 well is
being sidetracked to an optimal location after having demonstrated
the presence of hydrocarbons in multiple layers. We are optimistic
and planning to proceed with follow-up wells in each area based on
the initial results that we are seeing today,” commented Eric
Furlan, Chief Operating Officer.
Arauca-8 Exploration Well
Arauca-8 was drilled to a total depth of 21,010
feet as a pacesetting well and encountered the expected Guadalupe,
Gacheta, and Une zones. Based on positive wireline logging and
modular formation dynamics tester (“MDT”) pressure measurements, a
comprehensive testing program commenced, beginning with the Une
zone that resulted in a gas discovery that tested at roughly 9.0
MMCFD and over 1,000 barrels of condensate per day(2)(3)(4).
Following the successful Une gas test, the Gacheta zone was tested
that resulted in an oil discovery that tested at over 6,000
boe/d(2)(3)(5).
In the coming weeks, the remaining zones will be
tested, and following that, a formal development and production
plan for the area will be developed by Parex and Ecopetrol S.A.
The adjacent follow-up well, Arauca-81, is
expected to spud in late Q1 2024(2).
Arauca-15 Well
Although the well came in structurally low, it
encountered hydrocarbon sands in the Barco zone and the deeper Une
zone that previously had not been penetrated in the area. However,
wellbore conditions resulted in an ineffective completion that
affected overall test results and compromised the commercial
viability of the standalone well.
Based on the vertical seismic profile (“VSP”)
from downhole data, Parex plans to sidetrack the well to a more
optimal updip location and utilize the existing wellbore to reduce
costs and overall drilling time. The sidetrack is expected to be
completed in late Q1 2024, with the well brought onstream in early
Q2 2024.
In addition to the sidetrack of Arauca-15, which
will be drilled to the originally planned Arauca-11 location, Parex
also plans to drill a follow-up well, Arauca-12(2).
(1) Ecopetrol S.A. currently holds 100% W.I. in the Convenio
Arauca while the assignment procedure is pending. (2) Subject to
the required approvals.(3) The Arauca-8 well was drilled to a total
depth of 21,010 ft in a record time of 69 days, approximately 3.15
kilometers north-east of the Arauca-3 well. The data acquisition
program at the Arauca-8 well included wireline logging and MDT
pressure measurements in the Guadalupe, Gacheta, and Une
formations, indicating the presence of hydrocarbons. (4) In the Une
formation, over a 42-hour period, the well recovered 647 barrels of
50 API condensate and 9.7 MMCF of natural gas, representing an
average test rate of 370 barrels of condensate per day and 5.5
MMCFD of gas for a combined rate of 1,293 boe/d. The peak
production was at a restricted rate due to facility constraints of
9.0 MMCFD and 1,090 barrels of condensate per day, and the watercut
was stable at 0.5% during the last 10 hours of the test. Downhole
pressure sensors indicated an average producing drawdown of 1.2%
during the flow period, and a maximum drawdown of 2.7% during the
peak production period.(5) In the Gacheta formation, over 38-hour
period, the well recovered 2,783 barrels of 28 API crude oil, 3.0
MMCF of solution gas and 406 barrels of water, representing an
average test rate of 1,758 barrels of oil per day, 1.9 MMCF of gas,
and 256 barrels of water per day, for a combined rate of 2,075
boe/d. The peak production was at a restricted rate due to facility
constraints of 5,426 barrels of oil per day and 4.7 MMCFD, for a
total of 6,209 boe/d, with the watercut steadily decreasing
throughout the test to 4% when the test was terminated due to oil
storage capacity. Downhole pressure sensors indicated an average
producing drawdown of 6% during the flow period, and a maximum
drawdown of 20% during the peak production period.(6) See “Oil
& Gas Matters Advisory”.
Updated Three-Year Outlook
Parex’s updated plan for 2024 through 2026 shows
operational sustainability as well as the ability to generate
increased FFF(1).
The plan has been updated to include 2026,
incorporate Management’s forecast of inflationary impacts, drilling
results to date, as well as additional contingency related to well
timing and overall field execution.
Highlights of the updated three-year plan, based
on a constant $75/bbl Brent oil price outlook and forecast annual
capital expenditures(1) of $375 to $450 million, include:
- Annual average
production growth of approximately 5% or higher per year;
- Reinvestment
ratio(2) of 54 to 66 percent; and
-
Cumulative FFF(1) of approximately $850 million or over C$1.1
billion at current foreign exchange rates.
The plan continues to not include any associated
capital and production from successful exploration follow-up that
may occur over the outlook period.
Please note that an updated investor
presentation has been posted to the Company’s website, which
includes additional detail in relation to the updated three-year
outlook.
(1) Non-GAAP financial measure. See "Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures Advisory".(2) Supplementary financial measure;
reinvestment ratio is defined as capital expenditures expressed as
a percentage of funds flow provided by operations for the
applicable period. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Advisory".
Q4 2023 Results - Conference Call & Video
Webcast
Parex will host a conference call and video
webcast to discuss its Q4 2023 results on Friday, March 1, 2024.
Additional details will be available on the Company’s website in
due course.
About Parex Resources Inc.
Parex is the largest independent oil and gas
company in Colombia, focusing on sustainable, conventional
production. The Company’s corporate headquarters are in Calgary,
Canada, with an operating office in Bogotá, Colombia. Parex shares
trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol PXT.
NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION OR FOR DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED
STATES
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
Advisory
This press release uses various "non-GAAP
financial measures", "non-GAAP ratios", "supplementary financial
measures" and "capital management measures" (as such terms are
defined in National Instrument 52-112 – Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures Disclosure). Such measures are not standardized
financial measures under IFRS, and might not be comparable to
similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Such
financial measures should not be considered as alternatives to, or
more meaningful than measures determined in accordance with GAAP.
These measures facilitate management’s comparisons to the Company’s
historical operating results in assessing its results and strategic
and operational decision-making and may be used by financial
analysts and others in the oil and natural gas industry to evaluate
the Company’s performance. Further, management believes that such
financial measures are useful supplemental information to analyze
operating performance and provide an indication of the results
generated by the Company's principal business activities.
Please refer to the Company’s Management’s
Discussion and Analysis of the financial condition and results of
operations for the period ended September 30, 2023 dated
November 7, 2023, which is available at the Company’s website
at www.parexresources.com and on the Company’s profile on SEDAR+ at
www.sedarplus.ca for additional information about such financial
measures, including reconciliations to the nearest GAAP measures,
as applicable.
Set forth below is a description of the non-GAAP
financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, supplementary financial
measures and capital management measures used in this press
release.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Capital expenditures, is a
non-GAAP financial measure which the Company uses to describe its
capital costs associated with oil and gas expenditures. The measure
considers both property, plant and equipment expenditures and
exploration and evaluation asset expenditures which are items in
the Company’s statement of cash flows for the period. In Q3 2022,
the Company changed how it presents exploration and evaluation
expenditures, refer to note 2 of the Company's consolidated interim
financial statements for the period ended September 30, 2022.
Free funds flow, is a non-GAAP
measure that is determined by funds flow provided by operations
less capital expenditures. In Q3 2022, the Company changed how it
presents exploration and evaluation expenditures included in total
capital expenditures. Amounts have been restated for prior periods
to conform to the current year's presentation, refer to note 2 of
the Company's consolidated interim financial statements for the
period ended September 30, 2022. The Company considers free funds
flow to be a key measure as it demonstrates Parex’s ability to fund
return of capital, such as the normal course issuer bid or
dividends, without accessing outside funds.
Non-GAAP Ratios
Funds flow provided by operations
netback ("FFO netback") is a non-GAAP
ratio that includes all cash generated from operating activities
and is calculated before changes in non-cash working capital,
divided by produced oil and natural gas sales volumes. The Company
considers FFO netback to be a key measure as it demonstrates
Parex's profitability after all cash costs relative to current
commodity prices.
Capital Management Measures
Funds flow provided by
operations, is a capital management measure that includes
all cash generated from operating activities and is calculated
before changes in non-cash working capital. The Company considers
funds flow provided by operations to be a key measure as it
demonstrates Parex’s profitability after all cash costs relative to
current commodity prices.
Supplementary Financial
Measures
Dividends per share is
comprised of dividends declared as determined in accordance with
IFRS, divided by the number of shares outstanding at the applicable
dividend record date.
Reinvestment ratio is capital
expenditures expressed as a percentage of funds flow provided by
operations for the applicable period.
Oil & Gas Matters
Advisory
The term "Boe" means a barrel of oil equivalent
on the basis of 6 thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") of natural gas to 1
bbl. Boe may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A
boe conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 Bbl is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Given the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as
compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy
equivalency of 6 Mcf: 1Bbl, utilizing a conversion ratio at 6 Mcf:
1 Bbl may be misleading as an indication of value.
This press release contains a number of oil and
gas metrics, including FFO netbacks. These oil and gas metrics have
been prepared by management and do not have standardized meanings
or standard methods of calculation and therefore such measures may
not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies and
should not be used to make comparisons. Such metrics have been
included herein to provide readers with additional measures to
evaluate the Company's performance; however, such measures are not
reliable indicators of the future performance of the Company and
future performance may not compare to the performance in previous
periods and therefore such metrics should not be unduly relied
upon. Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide security holders with
measures to compare the Company's operations over time. Readers are
cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or that
can be derived from the metrics presented in this news release,
should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes. A
summary of the calculation of FFO netbacks is provided under
"Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Advisory".
References in this press release to initial
production test rates, initial "flow" rates, initial flow testing,
and "peak" rates are useful in confirming the presence of
hydrocarbons, however such rates are not determinative of the rates
at which such wells will commence production and decline thereafter
and are not indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate
recovery. While encouraging, investors are cautioned not to place
reliance on such rates in calculating the aggregate production for
Parex. Parex has not conducted a pressure transient analysis or
well-test interpretation on the wells referenced in this press
release. As such, all data should be considered to be preliminary
until such analysis or interpretation has been done.
Analogous Information
Certain information in this press release may
constitute "analogous information" as defined in NI 51-101. Such
information includes production estimates, reserves estimates and
other information retrieved from the continuous disclosure record
of certain industry participants from www.sedar.com or other
publicly available sources. Management of Parex believes the
information is relevant as it may help to define the reservoir
characteristics and production profile of lands in which Parex may
hold an interest. Parex is unable to confirm that the analogous
information was prepared by a qualified reserves evaluator or
auditor and is unable to confirm that the analogous information was
prepared in accordance with NI 51-101. Such information is not an
estimate of the production, reserves or resources attributable to
lands held or to be held by Parex and there is no certainty that
the production, reserves or resources data and economic information
for the lands held or to be held by Parex will be similar to the
information presented herein. The reader is cautioned that the data
relied upon by Parex may be in error and/or may not be analogous to
such lands held or to be held by Parex.
Advisory on Forward-Looking
Statements
Certain information regarding Parex set forth in
this press release contains forward-looking statements that involve
substantial known and unknown risks and uncertainties. The use of
any of the words "plan", "expect", “prospective”, "project",
"intend", "believe", "should", "anticipate", "estimate",
“forecast”, "guidance", “budget” or other similar words, or
statements that certain events or conditions "may" or "will" occur
are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Such
statements represent Parex's internal projections, estimates or
beliefs concerning, among other things, future growth, results of
operations, production, future capital and other expenditures
(including the amount, nature and sources of funding thereof),
competitive advantages, plans for and results of drilling activity,
environmental matters, business prospects and opportunities. These
statements are only predictions and actual events or results may
differ materially. Although the Company’s management believes that
the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are
reasonable, it cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity,
performance or achievement since such expectations are inherently
subject to significant business, economic, competitive, political
and social uncertainties and contingencies. Many factors could
cause Parex's actual results to differ materially from those
expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made by, or
on behalf of, Parex.
In particular, forward-looking statements
contained in this press release include, but are not limited to,
statements with respect to the Company's focus, plans, priorities
and strategies and the benefits to be derived from such plans,
priorities and strategies; Parex's anticipated FY 2024 average
production (midpoint of 2024 guidance) and forecasted annual
production growth at the midpoint; budgeted FY 2024 capital
expenditures and the expected comparison back to FY 2023 capital
expenditures; expected FFO and FFF in each case at the midpoint of
2024 guidance and the underlying assumptions; Parex's 2024 budget
including, the number of gross wells, the 2024 capital expenditure
guidance range, the allocation of capital expenditures, aggregate
amount of dividends that may be paid in 2024 and estimated amount
for further returns to shareholders, plans with respect to the 2024
exploration and development program, and 2024 capital plans;
Parex's 2024 guidance, including its anticipated average
production, FFO netback, FFO, capital expenditures and FFF; Parex's
2024 netback sensitivity estimates; Parex's 2024 capital
expenditure breakdown and specific overview of planned development
activities, development facilities, near-field exploration, Big 'E'
exploration and carry capital; the timing of, and the benefits to
be derived from, the planned development activities, development
facilities, near-field exploration, Big 'E' exploration and carry
capital; the expected timing for preliminary well results; the
timing to spud wells and the timing to bring wells onstream;
utilization of new seismic processing technology; the products and
zones being targeted at certain blocks; plans to proceed with
follow-up wells in Arauca; the formal development and production
plan for Arauca to be developed by Parex and its joint venture
partner; the plan for 2024 through 2026, and the underlying
assumptions and the highlighted components of such plan; and the
anticipated timing for Parex's webcast to discuss its Q4 2023
results.
Although the forward-looking statements
contained in this press release are based upon assumptions which
Management believes to be reasonable, the Company cannot assure
investors that actual results will be consistent with these
forward-looking statements. With respect to forward-looking
statements contained in this press release, Parex has made
assumptions regarding, among other things: current and anticipated
commodity prices and royalty regimes; availability of skilled
labour; timing and amount of capital expenditures; future exchange
rates; the price of oil, including the anticipated Brent oil price;
the impact of increasing competition; conditions in general
economic and financial markets; availability of drilling and
related equipment; effects of regulation by governmental agencies;
receipt of partner, regulatory and community approvals; royalty
rates; future operating costs; uninterrupted access to areas of
Parex's operations and infrastructure; recoverability of reserves
and future production rates; the status of litigation; timing of
drilling and completion of wells; on-stream timing of production
from successful exploration wells; operational performance of
non-operated producing fields; pipeline capacity; that Parex will
have sufficient cash flow, debt or equity sources or other
financial resources required to fund its capital and operating
expenditures and requirements as needed; that Parex's conduct and
results of operations will be consistent with its expectations;
that Parex will have the ability to develop its oil and gas
properties in the manner currently contemplated; that Parex's
evaluation of its existing portfolio of development and exploration
opportunities is consistent with its expectations; current or,
where applicable, proposed industry conditions, laws and
regulations will continue in effect or as anticipated as described
herein; that the estimates of Parex's production and reserves
volumes and the assumptions related thereto (including commodity
prices and development costs) are accurate in all material
respects; that Parex will be able to obtain contract extensions or
fulfill the contractual obligations required to retain its rights
to explore, develop and exploit any of its undeveloped properties;
that Parex will have sufficient financial resources in the future
to pay a dividend in the future; that the Board will declare
dividends in the future; and other matters.
Included in this press release are additional
forward-looking statements which are estimates of Parex's 2024-2026
average annual production growth, Brent oil pricing, annual capital
expenditures, reinvestment ratio and cumulative free funds flow.
The foregoing 2025-2026 forecasts are based on various assumptions
and are provided for illustration only and are based on budgets and
forecasts that have not been finalized and are subject to a variety
of contingencies including prior years' results. In addition, the
foregoing 2025-2026 forecasts and any capital budgets underlying
such forecasts are management prepared only and have not been
approved by the Board of Directors of Parex. These forecasts are
made as of the date of this press release and except as required by
applicable securities laws, Parex undertakes no obligation to
update such forecasts.
These forward-looking statements are subject to
numerous risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to, the
impact of general economic conditions in Canada and Colombia;
prolonged volatility in commodity prices; industry conditions
including changes in laws and regulations including adoption of new
environmental laws and regulations, and changes in how they are
interpreted and enforced in Canada and Colombia; determinations by
OPEC and other countries as to production levels; competition; lack
of availability of qualified personnel; the results of exploration
and development drilling and related activities; obtaining required
approvals of regulatory authorities in Canada and Colombia; risks
associated with negotiating with foreign governments as well as
country risk associated with conducting international activities;
volatility in market prices for oil; fluctuations in foreign
exchange or interest rates; environmental risks; changes in income
tax laws or changes in tax laws and incentive programs relating to
the oil industry; changes to pipeline capacity; ability to access
sufficient capital from internal and external sources; failure of
counterparties to perform under contracts; risk that Brent oil
prices are lower than anticipated; risk that Parex's evaluation of
its existing portfolio of development and exploration opportunities
is not consistent with its expectations; risk that initial test
results are not indicative of future performance or ultimate
recovery; risk that other zones to be tested do not contain the
expected hydrocarbon bearing formations; the risk that Parex's 2024
capital expenditures and planned exploration and development
programs are different than expected, including in a manner adverse
to Parex; the risk that Parex's financial and production results
may be less favorable than anticipated; the risk that Parex may not
receive its preliminary well results when anticipated, or at all;
the risk that certain of Parex's wells may not spud or come
onstream when anticipated, or at all; the risk that Parex may not
utilize new seismic processing technology or receive the benefits
anticipated; the risk that Parex may not proceed with follow-up
wells in Arauca; the risk that a formal development and production
plan for Arauca may not be developed by Parex and its joint venture
partner when anticipated, or at all; the risk that Parex's actual
results may be less favorable than those reflected in its plan for
2024 through 2026; the risk that Parex's webcast to discuss its Q4
2023 results may not occur when anticipated, or at all; the risk
that Parex may not have sufficient financial resources in the
future to pay a dividend or repurchase its shares; the risk that
the Board may not declare dividends in the future or that Parex's
dividend policy changes; and other factors, many of which are
beyond the control of the Company. Readers are cautioned that the
foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information
on these and other factors that could affect Parex's operations and
financial results are included in reports on file with Canadian
securities regulatory authorities and may be accessed through the
SEDAR website (www.sedarplus.ca).
Management has included the above summary of
assumptions and risks related to forward-looking information
provided in this press release in order to provide shareholders
with a more complete perspective on Parex's current and future
operations and such information may not be appropriate for other
purposes. Parex's actual results, performance or achievement could
differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these
forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurance can be
given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking
statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what
benefits Parex will derive. These forward-looking statements are
made as of the date of this press release and Parex disclaims any
intent or obligation to update publicly any forward-looking
statements, whether as a result of new information, future events
or results or otherwise, other than as required by applicable
securities laws.
This press release contains a financial outlook,
in particular: Parex's 2024 budget, including its anticipated
capital expenditures, free funds flow, forecasted aggregate
dividend payments and other shareholder returns and funds flow
provided by operations; that Parex will continue to pay its regular
quarterly dividend; Parex's 2024 guidance, including its
anticipated average production, FFO netback, FFO, capital
expenditures and FFF; Parex's three-year outlook, including its
forecasted annual capital expenditures, cumulative free funds flow
and reinvestment ratio; and Parex's 2024 netback sensitivity
estimates. Such financial outlook has been prepared by Parex's
management to provide an outlook of the Company's activities and
results. The financial outlook has been prepared based on a number
of assumptions including the assumptions discussed above and
assumptions with respect to the costs and expenditures to be
incurred by the Company, capital equipment and operating costs,
foreign exchange rates, taxation rates for the Company, general and
administrative expenses and the prices to be paid for the Company's
production.
Management does not have firm commitments for
all of the costs, expenditures, prices or other financial
assumptions used to prepare the financial outlook or assurance that
such operating results will be achieved and, accordingly, the
complete financial effects of all of those costs, expenditures,
prices and operating results are not objectively determinable. The
actual results of operations of the Company and the resulting
financial results will likely vary from the amounts set forth in
the analysis presented in this press release, and such variation
may be material. The Company and its management believe that the
financial outlook has been prepared on a reasonable basis,
reflecting the best estimates and judgments, and represent, to the
best of management's knowledge and opinion, Parex's expected
expenditures and results of operations. However, because this
information is highly subjective and subject to numerous risks
including the risks discussed above, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, Parex undertakes no obligation to
update such financial outlook.
Distribution Advisory
The proposed aggregate quarterly dividend
payments of approximately US$115 million in 2024 remain subject to
the approval of the Board of Directors of Parex and the declaration
of such dividends is subject to a number of other assumptions and
contingencies, including commodity prices. The Company's future
shareholder distributions, including but not limited to the payment
of dividends and the acquisition by the Company of its shares
pursuant to a normal course issuer bid, if any, and the level
thereof is uncertain. Any decision to pay further dividends on the
common shares (including the actual amount, the declaration date,
the record date and the payment date in connection therewith and
any special dividends) or acquire shares of the Company will be
subject to the discretion of the Board of Directors of Parex and
may depend on a variety of factors, including, without limitation
the Company's business performance, financial condition, financial
requirements, growth plans, expected capital requirements and other
conditions existing at such future time including, without
limitation, contractual restrictions and satisfaction of the
solvency tests imposed on the Company under applicable corporate
law. Any purchases of common shares pursuant to a normal course
issuer bid is subject to all required regulatory approvals. There
can be no assurance that the Company will pay dividends or
repurchase any shares of the Company in the future. The payment of
dividends to shareholders is not assured or guaranteed and
dividends may be reduced or suspended entirely. In addition to the
foregoing, the Company’s ability to pay dividends or acquire shares
now or in the future may be limited by covenants contained in the
agreements governing any indebtedness that the Company has incurred
or may incur in the future, including the terms of the credit
facilities.
Abbreviations
The following abbreviations used in this press
release have the meanings set forth below:
API |
American Petroleum Institute gravity |
bbl |
one barrel |
bbl/d |
barrels per day |
boe |
barrels of oil equivalent of natural gas; one barrel of oil or
natural gas liquids for six thousand cubic feet of natural gas |
boe/d |
barrels of oil equivalent of natural gas per day |
mcf |
thousand cubic feet |
mcf/d |
thousand cubic feet per day |
mmcf/d |
million cubic feet per day |
W.I. |
working interest |
PDF
available: http://ml.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/ecea789d-3638-47d2-b752-dad7d1f81765
For more information, please contact:
Mike Kruchten
Senior Vice President, Capital Markets & Corporate Planning
Parex Resources Inc.
403-517-1733
investor.relations@parexresources.com
Steven Eirich
Investor Relations & Communications Advisor
Parex Resources Inc.
587-293-3286
investor.relations@parexresources.com
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