A ship without a rudder in a sea of uncertainty. Stock now rated a sell. Dropping coverage. - Analyst Blog
09 May 2013 - 6:40PM
Zacks
By Ian Gilson, PHD, CFA
When Umami Sustainable Seafood Inc. (OTC:UMAM) reported its
second quarter results it stated that there was insufficient cash
flow to meet its requirements over the next six months. The company
is also in default on $30.0 million of debt due on Dec. 31, 2012,
which has not been paid as of April 16, 2013, and debt due in one
year is $56.6 million. There is also $16.9 million in receivables
from Atlantis that is probably worthless.
Excluding the write off of $2.08 million (a provision for doubtful
accounts) the company made a profit of $1.2 million and $0.02 a
share. However, as shown below, gross margins declined on a Y/Y
basis. Cash on the balance sheet declined from $10.8 million to
$$4.3 million and that included borrowings of $25.2
million.
The tuna catch in the first quarter was a record. Tons sold over
the six months were well below the prior year numbers. Given the
significant amount of tuna in inventory in the 60 to 90 Kg range
($31 million) at the end of the first quarter it is surprising that
sales were not higher in the second quarter. Also, by our
calculation (which is not the one the company uses), growth of the
fish stock was a record in the first quarter and for the six months
of the current fiscal year.
Despite a record price paid for the first tuna sold at the Japanese
auction (which, in our opinion, has, in the past, been a reasonable
guide to the season's pricing) the company recorded a significant
decline in selling prices in the second quarter, as shown above.
Part of this was due to a decline in the value of the yen versus
the US dollar but the company recorded a decline in selling prices
per kilogram.
On Dec. 20, 2012 Daito Gyorui acquired, by purchase, 13 million
shares in Umami, representing close to 22% of the shares
outstanding at that time. Daito Gyorui was the largest buyer of
tuna from Umami in the 2010 fiscal but did not buy any fish in the
first six months of fiscal 2013.
Effective Dec. 8, 2012 Oli Steindorsson, CEO Board Chairman,
resigned from Umami and all of its subsidiaries. Subsequent to his
resignation the Board of Directors determined that his resignation
should be deemed a termination for cause, and all of his vested and
unvested options were cancelled. Since then Mr. Steindorsson and
The Atlantis Group, which he controlled, have declared
bankruptcy.
Mr. Steindorsson was replaced by Mr. James White, a member of the
Board since Jan. 2011. Mr. White has significant experience in the
mining and gold industries. The company has stated that they are
conducting a search for a new CEO. The company does not currently
have a board member with the experience and knowledge of the
Japanese tuna business of the previous CEO.
Given the cash flow problems of the company and the apparent
problems in appointing an experienced CEO we have decided to rate
the company "Underperform" and discontinue coverage.
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