2nd UPDATE: Gannett Gives Upbeat 3Q View, Plans Note Offer
30 September 2009 - 4:48AM
Dow Jones News
The nation's largest newspaper chain, Gannett Co. (GCI), said
Tuesday that its third-quarter earnings would far exceed
expectations on Wall Street, bolstering newfound optimism that a
recovery is underway for traditional media outlets.
Following the announcement, shares of Gannett rose as much as
20% to $11.99, nearly 6.5 times the stock's low set in March.
Shares of other major broadcasters and newspaper publishers also
rose, as those stocks continue to recover from the dire predictions
that pervaded the industry earlier this year due to the recession
and growth of digital media.
Still, concerns remain over the USA Today publisher's ability to
sustain its rebound as an aggressive round of cost-cutting is a key
source of the company's bottom-line strength. Gannett expects
revenue results for the quarter to be down about 19%, missing
analysts' estimates.
"Our continued efforts to achieve efficiencies and further
consolidations company-wide along with significantly lower
newsprint expense resulted in another substantial decline in our
operating expenses," said Gracia Martore, the company's chief
financial officer.
Martore is filling in for the company's chief executive, Craig
Dubow, who is on extended medical leave to recover from back
surgery. Over the summer, Gannett unveiled plans to cut 1,400 jobs
from its work force of 41,500.
For the third quarter, Gannett now expects to report earnings
excluding restructuring charges between $93 million and $100
million, or 39 cents to 42 cents a share. That marks a decline from
the 76 cents a share a year ago, excluding charges, but it far
surpasses the mean estimate of analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters
for earnings of 28 cents a share.
John Miller, portfolio manager with Ariel Investments LLC -
Gannett's largest shareholder - said the company's guidance is a
sign that print and broadcast media are recovering from the depths
of the recession.
"This company was priced to go out of business," said Miller,
noting that the stock has more than tripled since Ariel doubled its
stake in April. "We think there is more upside here as advertisers
return to the market."
Gannett shares recently rose 18.7% to $11.85. Also jumping
Tuesday are New York Times Co. (NYT), up 6.4% to $8.50; Washington
Post Co. (WPO), 3.3% to $468.04; McClatchy Co. (MNI), 6% to $2.63;
E.W. Scripps Co. (SSP), 8.2% to $7.79; Media General Inc. (MEG),
12.6% to $8.89; and Lee Enterprises Inc. (LEE), 48.1% to $3.17.
While the media industry has been flooded with chatter about a
pick-up in advertising spending, a rebound has yet to materialize
in the revenue of major media companies, and Gannett's
third-quarter results will do little to change that. The company
said it expects to report quarterly revenue between $1.31 billion
and $1.32 billion, while analysts, on average, had expected revenue
of $1.38 billion.
"Everything that we're hearing and reading indicates that a lot
of advertisers are coming back into the marketplace," Miller said.
"It's just a matter of time before this advertising has a positive
impact on the revenue numbers."
Martore said advertising declines continue to get smaller, with
the third-quarter's year-over-year decline expected to improve from
the one-third tumble seen in the first half of 2009. Specifics for
the third quarter weren't provided, and the newspaper industry
continues to grapple with long-term declines as its online revenue
gains are outpaced by its offline declines.
Underscoring the challenges still facing Gannett, the company
said it expects third-quarter operating cash flows between $241
million and $252 million, which will mark a 22% decline from last
year's $324 million. Last year's results showed a 29% drop-off from
the previous year.
The trend doesn't bode well for Gannett's ability to meet its
long-term obligations if newspapers continue to suffer declines,
but its short-term credit concerns were alleviated by Tuesday's
report.
The company said it cut its total debt in the quarter by $200
million to $3.31 billion. It expects its senior leverage ratio
under its credit agreements to be more than 10% below the required
ceiling set by its lenders - its nearest term credit risk.
Gannett has no debt maturities for nearly two years after
aggressively restructuring its debt following the financial crisis.
The process continued Tuesday as it also announced plans to sell
$400 million in five- and eight-year notes, joining the raft of
companies raising fresh capital to pay off other debt.
In July, Gannett swung to a second-quarter profit amid
aggressive cost cuts, but operating results continued to weaken
sharply.
"We do want to make sure that Gannett's not sacrificing quality
with these cost cuts, but, so far, we feel that's not the case,"
Miller said.
-By Nat Worden, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2472;
nat.worden@dowjones.com
(Mike Barris and Kevin Kingsbury contributed to this
article.)