Polling shows likely voters nationally and in battleground states solidly oppose Biden-Harris gas-car ban and consider the issue ‘important’ for 2024
11 July 2024 - 7:16AM
New polling conducted nationally and across
eight presidential
and senate battleground states shows strong opposition among
likely voters to government policies designed to ban new
gas-powered vehicles and, further, that supermajorities of likely
voters say this policy issue will be important to them when
deciding which elected officials to support in 2024.
National polling was conducted June 29 – July 2 by WPA
Intelligence and measured likely voter sentiment around gas-car
bans, EV mandates, and support for candidates who embrace such
policies. Highlights of the polls are as follows:
Nationally, seven-in-ten likely voters oppose gas-car bans.
- Overall: 70%
oppose, 18% support
- Republicans:
90% oppose, 6% support
- Democrats:
49% oppose, 31% support
- Independents:
71% oppose, 20% support
Almost two-thirds of voters, nationally, are less likely to vote
for a candidate who supports gas-car bans.
- Overall: 64%
less likely, 16% more likely
- Republicans:
88% less likely, 5% more likely
- Democrats:
41% less likely, 27% more likely
- Independents:
65% less likely, 16% more likely
More than 60% of voters are concerned they will be unable to buy
the car of their choice in the next decade.
- National: 37%
very concerned, 25% somewhat concerned, 18% not too concerned, 13%
not concerned at all
The battleground state polling — fielded in Arizona, Michigan,
Montana, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin between
June 29 – July 1 — was conducted by Remington Research Group and
measured likely voter sentiment around gas-car bans, EV mandates,
and support for candidates who embrace such policies. Highlights of
the polls are as follows:
The majority of likely voters in all surveyed states oppose
gas-car bans.
- Arizona: 60%
oppose, 20% support, 19% undecided
- Michigan: 63%
oppose, 18% support, 19% undecided
- Montana: 66%
oppose, 16% support, 18% undecided
- Nevada: 63%
oppose, 21% support, 16% undecided
-
Ohio: 63% oppose, 13% support, 24% undecided
-
Pennsylvania: 60% oppose, 20% support, 21%
undecided
- Texas: 65%
oppose, 14% support, 21% undecided
- Wisconsin:
59% oppose, 22% support, 19% undecided
When asked specifically about EPA’s light-duty vehicle tailpipe
regulation, which will mandate roughly 70% EV and plug-in hybrid
vehicle sales by 2032, opposition among likely voters far exceeds
support in every U.S. battleground state.
- Arizona: 59%
oppose, 24% support, 16% undecided
- Michigan: 64%
oppose, 19% support, 18% undecided
- Montana: 64%
oppose, 20% support, 15% undecided
- Nevada: 59%
oppose, 25% support, 17% undecided
- Ohio: 64%
oppose, 17% support, 19% undecided
- Pennsylvania:
59% oppose, 23% support, 18% undecided
- Texas: 65%
oppose, 19% support, 17% undecided
- Wisconsin:
56% oppose, 26% support, 18% undecided
Supermajorities, ranging from 62% to 69% of likely voters, in
each state report that a candidate’s position on stopping bans on
new gas-cars is an important factor in their vote.
- Arizona: 66%
important, 12% not important
- Michigan: 68%
important, 12% not important
- Montana: 68%
important, 13% not important
- Nevada: 62%
important, 19% not important
- Ohio: 67%
important, 12% not important
- Pennsylvania:
69% important, 14% not important
- Texas: 65%
important, 14% not important
- Wisconsin:
64% important, 14% not important
AFPM President and CEO Chet Thompson issued the following
statement on the new polling:
“This new polling underscores what we have been
hearing from the American people of all political stripes for
months—that they do not want the government banning gas cars,
mandating electric vehicles or imposing regulations that restrict
access to the types of cars that best meet a family’s needs and
budget.
“Elected officials should take note that the
American people care about this issue and are watching to see
whether Congress will stand up and overturn EPA’s regulation
banning the sale of most new gas cars.” — Chet Thompson, AFPM
President and CEO
The full results of the poll can be found HERE.
Methodology:
The national survey was conducted June 29 – July 1, 2024. Sample
size was 1,000 voters and was weighted to match expected voter
turnout in the 2024 general election. The margin of error is +/-
3.1% with a 95% level of confidence.
Battleground state surveys were conducted June 29 through July
1, 2024, in Arizona, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania,
Texas and Wisconsin. Sample sizes varied by state from 570 to 673
and were weighted to match expected voter turnout in the 2024
General Election. The margin of error is +/-4% with a 95% level of
confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding.
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About AFPM:
The American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers (AFPM) is
the leading trade association representing the makers of the fuels
that keep us moving, the petrochemicals that are the essential
building blocks for modern life, and the midstream companies that
get our feedstocks and products where they need to go. We make the
products that make life better, safer and more sustainable — we
make progress.
Rachel Farbman
American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers
202-457-0480
media@afpm.org