NIO Inc (NIO) Options

I'm bullish on NIO and hold a fair position here.

So....the CEO is starting to look for ways to save money and streamline operations but can't see past his own ego. The NIO Houses are a gigantic waste of commercial floor space at the shareholder's expense. Firefly is too expensive and won't sell well...especially without swap in place yet. This crap of so many different companies is also a waste.

NIO needs to hire DOGE.

NIO’s next earnings date is 03/05/2025 Q4 2024
I don’t see any type of catalyst to help NIO survive a quarter over quarter increased loss. The shorts will land on NIO like flies on a fresh cow pie.
If they bring it down into the $3.50 ish range I will be buying more.

Either ONVO has an image problem or the L60 is just inferior when compared to the competition.

Agreed.....WFT happened to ONVO sales?

880 ONVO sales for 1 week with generous incentives isn’t a good sign.

Shorts will have their way with NIO until sales become substantial. The shorts know how to spin simple metrics to manipulate public sentiment.

Nio stock price may surge 75% in 2025: find out why
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/top-stocks/nio-stock-price-may-surge-75-in-2025-find-out-why/ar-AA1zc9wX?ocid=BingNewsSerp $NIO

The NIO Firefly is shaping up to be best in its class for price, battery mileage, horsepower, top speed, safety (EU 5 star), advanced driving technology, and a choice of battery swap, battery upgrade and conventional charging.

No doubt that major accumulation is going on here. When all the HF's and institutions get their desired positions, then, and only then, will good news/company performance affect SP.

UBS Group AG is a Swiss-based multinational bank and financial services company that offers a variety of services to clients.

UBS investment bankers and private bankers are known for their strict bank–client confidentiality

On February 14, 2025 - UBS Group AG filed a 13F-HR form disclosing ownership of 44,160,805 shares of NIO Inc. - Depositary Receipt (Common Stock) (US:NIO) valued at $192,541,110 USD as of December 31, 2024. The entity filed a previous 13F-HR on November 14, 2024 disclosing 4,107,936 shares of NIO Inc. - Depositary Receipt (Common Stock). This represents a change in shares of 975.01% during the quarter. The current value of the position is $196,073,974 USD
@amulpatel8207
5 hours ago

Chery's sub-brand Exeed has partnered with Nio to build battery swap-enabled models that will go on sale in the third quarter of 2025… an SUV and a sedan.

The cycle time to build a new battery swap-enabled model is about 18 months, and by 2027 and 2028 there would be a relatively large number of new models built using Nio's battery swap technology, Li said at the time.
Models from the battery swap alliance ( Changan, Geely, Chery and JAC) is expected to help Nio's energy arm, Nio Power, grow independently.

Nio announced on May 31, 2024 that Nio Power had received a RMB 1.5 billion ($205 million) investment. Nio still holds around 90 percent of Nio Power after it secured its first external financing.

The battery swap fee is around $5.00 per swap not $1.00
The charge station fee for conventional charging averages around $5.00. As you can see revenue can ramp up considerably in a short period of time.
$50 Million per year at $1.00 is really $250 million per year with the $5.00 fee.

The real coin starts when other brands start using Nio swap stations. I believe that one of the partners is launching a compatible vehicle sometime this year.

Let’s crunch some numbers…
Hypothetical
NIO did over 1 million battery swaps during the Chinese holiday
In the same time period EV drivers used NIO power chargers over 1 million times.
If NIO received just $1 per charge… only one dollar. In a period of two weeks NIO brought in over $2 million. At this rate, a period of one year is over $50 million.
NIO is creating the infrastructure to ramp up charging numbers at an exponential rate. NIO Power is a major key to profitability.

Shorts a short sighted goons lacking the foresight to foresee an inevitable squeeze much less a company’s intrinsic value.

Shorts are Walking it down to close the gap.

Short squeeze or shorts leave... either way... money coming.

Let’s be prescient…

Soon a NiO vehicle owner will have the option to send their autonomous driving vehicle to a nearby battery swap station. Imagine sending your vehicle to a battery swap station to get charged while you are at work, shopping, sleeping… time spent powering up your vehicle will be zero minutes. NIO is years ahead of the curve.
While battery swap station detractors are playing checkers NIO is playing 4D Chess.

Autonomous driving will soon be a reality. NIO is presently doing a pilot Robo Taxi trial in Oslo.

NIO Power…
Great Wall Motor is the 17th brand to have a charging service partnership with Nio. Great Wall Motor's Haval, Wey, Ora, and Tank brands can find and use Nio Power's charging piles nationwide through their mobile apps and enjoy an upgraded charging experience.
Great Wall Motor sold 321,795 new energy vehicles (NEVs), including plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) and battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in 2024.

https://cnevpost.com/2025/02/14/great-wall-motor-plugs-into-nio-charging/

Let’s be prescient…

The power company solutions to curb quick charging power grid overload will be in pricing.

Higher prices for quick charging will curb the use of quick charging options making quick charging a choice for those able can pay the extra premium. The less affluent will have to choose different options like battery swapping, slow charging or if available home charging. In this inevitable scenario battery swapping is the solution for those lacking home charging access.

A sudden influx of electric cars could put immense pressure on the existing power grid, potentially leading to blackouts.

Power demand isn’t energy demand. The quicker the battery charge the more power is demanded from the power grid.‘Energy supply means nothing if the infrastructure lacks the capability to deliver the power demand required by quick charging by a large number of EV vehicles. We will reach this brick wall sooner than expected as EVs become more popular and quick charging becomes the norm.
While the short sighted investors and battery swap detractors play checkers NIO is playing chess by installing battery swap stations capable of power storage, slow battery charge, and grid management. NIO has the solution to prevent the impending grid power blackouts caused by quick charging EVs.

$144M Dark Pool BUY Mystery
Lucid had similar buying action.

Yesterday, JP Morgan bought 3,986,722 $NIO shares.

16:18:38 $4.21 5,000,000
16:18:38 $4.21 5,000,000
16:18:38 $4.21 5,000,000
16:18:38 $4.21 5,000,000
16:18:38 $4.21 5,000,000
16:18:38 $4.21 4,171,651
16:18:38 $4.21 5,000,000

NIO Inc. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share (NIO) Latest After Hours Trades

https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/nio/after-hours-trades?page=1&rows_per_page=100

WTF was that all about? It didn't move the SP.

30,000,000 shares was just bought 

JPM Increases NIO Stake by 65.37%! 🔥 Dark Pool Manipulation EXPOSED! ⚠️ $NIO Stock Update

Financial Journey
Big moves in NIO! 🚀 JPMorgan has increased its position in NIO by 65.37%, signaling strong institutional confidence. But behind the scenes, HUGE dark pool activity is raising questions about potential manipulation. What does this mean for NIO stock going forward?

$NIO The All-New NIO ES8 is a Beauty! https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Dk8BINrY7Bw

Trade war with China is only beginning. If delivery of Nvidia’s driving chips to China is banned by the Trump administration…
NIO will benefit bigly.

Advantage NIO Shenji Chip

Nvidia's Thor chip has been delayed multiple times, pushing production from mid-2024 to mid-2025. The delays have affected automakers' plans for new vehicles and could lead to Nvidia losing customers

Only the entry-level version of the Thor chip will reportedly be available in mid-2025

Other automakers such as BYD, Zeekr, and Ideal plan to adopt the Thor chip

Shenji NX9031 has comparable computing power to four Nvidia Drive Orin X chips.

Li Bin: 2025 is a big year for Nio's technology and products

On the evening of February 8th, Nio Chairman Li Bin revealed during a live broadcast that 2025 will be a significant year for Nio's technology. Starting in March, the full-version SkyOS·Tianshu vehicle-wide operating system, the self-developed world's first 5nm automotive-grade intelligent driving chip - the Shenji chip, and end-to-end urban intelligent driving based on world models will be successively delivered. At the same time, Li Bin stated that 2025 will also be a major product year for Nio. From the end of April to the end of this year, all three major brands under its umbrella will launch new vehicles. "In the future, there will be new vehicle releases every quarter," Li Bin said

Interesting after market trade.
4.04……1,426,532 19:00:00
4.09 ……..……600 form t 18:59:58

Battery Swap Stations are the Petrol stations of the future. Not only will NIO sell you fuel/power they will rent you the gas tank/battery.

I am looking at NIO as a 3-5 year time frame investment.
If NIO drops to $3.50 I will probably buy another 10,000 shares.

Everyone is oblivious to the power demand brick wall of grid capacity as more EVs and Quick Charging ramp up peak power demands. NIO has the solution for grid management, power storage and quick charge power demand.

NIO cash US $6.0 billion as of September 30, 2024..
Total debt on the balance sheet as of September 2024 : $4.83 Billion USD
NIO’s true valuation is being decimated by a relentless attack by shorts.

Exactly!

And all because of BS. Onvo dealerships were closed over the Chinese New Year. NIO was open...as their better than Onvo sales show. Numbers up for same time YoY bigly.

All China NEV numbers were down sharply last week.

Going to test $4.00 today.

Every day the same downgrades and caution by major investment companies using a slightly different angle hits the news outlets.

The major investment companies completely ignore NIO’s battery swapping success.

Again this morning 600,000 shorted pre market.

Effective manipulation of investors.

Nearly-New Onvo Vehicles Listed on Second-Hand Market with 39% Discounts

One vehicle. No reason why the vehicle is being sold at such a price. Was it salvaged, wrecked, purchased without the battery or being sold by the shorting cartel. This is the kind of tactics shorts use to manipulate public perception.

“On Monday, several automotive bloggers shared on Chinese social media that the L60 was appearing on China’s second-hand market with discounts of up to 40% off its original price.”

https://eletric-vehicles.com/nio/onvo/nearly-new-onvo-vehicles-listed-on-second-hand-market-with-39-discounts/

Nio's swap stations in Shanghai close to profitability, CEO says
Nio currently provides more than 9,000 battery swaps per day in Shanghai.
Shanghai has the largest number of NIO battery swap stations at 183.
The trend in the battery swap business is getting better, and Nio's (NYSE: NIO) battery swap stations in Shanghai are basically close to profitability, said William Li, the electric vehicle (EV) maker's founder, chairman and CEO.

Li mentioned this yesterday in a Weibo post when he shared a clip of a replay of a live video broadcast he made on February 8 on Douyin, a short-form video platform.

This year would be a big year for Nio's battery swap stations build-out, as the company seeks to make the power-up experience as convenient as gas refueling for users of Nio, Onvo, and partner car brands, Li said.

During the live broadcast, Shen Fei, Nio's vice president for energy business, mentioned that the company is providing more than 9,000 battery swap services per day in Shanghai, and will soon be approaching 10,000 per day.

"I can boldly tell you that in the vast majority of places in Shanghai at the moment, you can definitely make money if you can build a battery swap station," Shen said.

Shanghai-based Nio currently has 3,110 battery swap stations in China, with Shanghai having the most at 183, according to data compiled by CnEVPost.

Last November, Nio CFO Stanly Qu told an automotive industry forum that the company had more than 150 battery swap stations in Shanghai at the time, with the vast majority providing more than 100 services a day. https://cnevpost.com/2025/02/10/nio-swap-stations-shanghai-close-to-profitability/

"I expect the trail will lead to Wall Street."

You damn straight it will!

The Shorting Syndicate video and social media mule accounts have been traced back to a shell company where their identities are hidden. NIO is now offering up to a $140,000 reward for insider information leading to the identification of the Stock Shorting Syndicate. The Chinese government is also involved with the investigations. I expect the trail will lead to Wall Street.

Nio offers up to $140,000 in rewards for tips on malicious online attacks
Phate Zhang
Feb 9, 2025, 12:19 AM GMT-6

https://cnevpost.com/2025/02/09/nio-offers-rewards-for-attack-tips/

The NIO Firefly will be the gateway vehicle to Battery Swap Rental/Subscriptions by the masses.

7 February 2025
by Liam Boyce
Revolutionizing Technology: Why Firefly Nio Could Be the Game-Changer We’ve Been Waiting For.
https://mivalle.net.ar/uncategorized-en/revolutionizing-technology-why-firefly-nio-could-be-the-game-changer-weve-been-waiting-for/81382/

Battery Swap subscriptions are for the life of the vehicle… 10-12 years. For NIO, profits will not be determined by how many vehicles they sell in a given time. Profits will be determined by how many NIO battery swap subscription vehicles are on the road in a given time. The potential is astronomical.

Well said. I agree 100%

Over 11,000 owners shared their long lasting battery packs for NIO points.
Meaning…
V2G Vehicle to Grid in China could become a reality. Battery owners in the NIO swap system can cash in a charged battery for points or possibly cash during peak demand.

All analysts are purposely ignoring NIO’s Battery Swap growth and potential. When the shorts are done and big money takes their positions in NIO Battery Swapping will be the greatest invention since sliced bread. It is just part of their game. The big markets and big investment entities are just as corrupt as penny stock boiler room crooks. The only difference is the amount of numbers behind the dollar sign.

Chip exports war? NIO makes their own chip and are no longer dependent on Nvidia. Will the illegal exports result in a broader chip crackdown to the benefit of NIO?.

Nobody Special Finance

Nvidia's Dirty Secret: Illegal Exports to China.
“It's the worst kept secret on Wall Street that companies like Nvidia and Supermicro have been inflating their revenues with illegal sales of AI chips and server to China in violation of US export controls. But now that DeepSeek has thrown the whole AI Bubble into chaos, people are no longer pretending like it isn't happening.”
Nobody Special Finance