EUROPE MARKETS: Trade Talks Trap Europe Markets In Their Gravitational Field
13 May 2019 - 8:12PM
Dow Jones News
By Dave Morris
After European stocks defied gravity Friday, U.S.-China trade
tensions caught up with them to drag equities lower.
How did markets perform?
The Stoxx 600 dropped 0.6% to 375.1. It had climbed 0.3%
Friday.
Germany's DAX (DAX) took the brunt of the trade-related declines
(Germany is a key trading partner of China's), falling 0.8% and
wiping out Friday's 0.7% gain.
The U.K.'s FTSE 100 was flat at 7,206.6, after edging down 0.1%
Friday.
The pound was up 0.2% to $1.3021. On Friday it edged up
0.1%.
France's CAC 40 declined 0.6% to 5,297.2 after rising 0.3%
Friday.
Italy's FTSE MIB dipped 0.7% to 20,735.9. On Friday it was up
0.3%.
What's moving the markets?
Given that talks in Washington, D.C. failed to prevent tariffs
being imposed on Chinese goods by the U.S., Friday's positive
market session was surprising. Today's declines are less
surprising.
The big story Monday remains trade talks, which despite ending
Friday saw plenty of sabers being rattled in the media over the
weekend.
Chinese Vice Premier Liu He told Xinhua
(http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019-05/11/c_138051337.htm) that
cooperation is the right choice, and that casually accusing one
side of "backtracking" during negotiations was irresponsible. The
dig at U.S. President Donald Trump and his team, who have accused
China of changing its stance midway through the negotiations, came
as Trump economic adviser Larry Kudlow broke from the president in
admitting that tariffs would hurt both sides.
The talks are expected to resume, though no timetable has been
set.
Jasper Lawler, head of research at London Capital Group, said:
"The base case scenario is that a deal will still be achieved, it
is just going to take a lot longer than the market had been pricing
in over recent months."
Brexit talks between the U.K.'s ruling Conservative Party and
the opposition Labour Party were looking fragile as The Times
reported a potential cabinet revolt
(https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/pull-plug-on-brexit-talks-with-labour-theresa-may-urged-mtv5nzcfw).
The paper said Tuesday's cabinet meeting would see ministers
pushing for a series of so-called indicative votes in Parliament
rather than continuing talks with Labour, which some view as
politically toxic.
Which stocks are active?
Vodafone Group PLC (VOD.LN) shares slumped 3.6% on reports that
it was planning to cut its dividend. According to the Sunday Times,
(https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/business/vodafone-ready-to-slash-dividend-to-pay-for-5g-g6d59xtxl)
the telecommunications company will announce at its first quarter
earnings Tuesday that it needs the funds to pay for investments in
5G network space in Italy and Germany.
Thyssenkrupp AG (TKA.XE) snapped back 6.5% after rising
dramatically Friday on news that the German industrial firm had
abandoned its plan to split itself in two because of concerns among
both regulators and investors. Reports indicate the company is now
planning an initial public offering (IPO) of its elevators
business, as well as 6,000 job cuts. Shares had jumped more than
20% Friday.
Centrica PLC (CNA.LN) shares were up 1.9% as investors rewarded
the energy utility for not delivering results as bad as had been
expected. The company formerly known as British Gas warned that
headwinds ranging from the U.K. government's energy price cap to
warmer than normal temperatures had dampened its first quarter, and
that they were weighing on its full year outlook.
Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, said: "British Gas
used to be a trusted brand--now its reputation has been tarnished
by talk of substandard customer service and expensive bills.
"With so much choice in the energy market, Centrica cannot
afford to fail on service and cost which means it is going to have
to reinvent itself."
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 13, 2019 05:57 ET (09:57 GMT)
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