Real’s December Agent Survey: Growing Optimism for Market Recovery
22 January 2025 - 11:30PM
Business Wire
Survey Highlights Expectations for Continued
Commission Rate Stability in 2025
The Real Brokerage Inc. (NASDAQ: REAX, “Real”), a technology
platform reshaping real estate for agents, home buyers, and
sellers, today released results from its December 2024 Agent
Survey. The survey highlights growing agent confidence as 2025
begins, with the Agent Optimism Index reaching a new high. Despite
continued affordability challenges and constrained inventory,
agents are signaling expectations for a market recovery in
2025.
"Our agents’ outlook for 2025 signals a turning point for the
industry," said Tamir Poleg, Chairman and CEO of Real. "Even in an
elevated rate environment, agents are preparing for recovery as the
housing market emerges from two years of historically low
transaction activity."
“As we enter 2025, agents’ insights point to a market regaining
balance and positioning itself for sustained recovery,” said
Sharran Srivatsaa, President of Real. “At the same time, our data
continues to show stability in commission rates, underscoring the
critical role agents play in navigating buyers and sellers through
today’s dynamic market.”
Key Survey Findings: Commission Rate Trends
- Buy-Side Commission Rates Showed Stability Despite Market
Challenges in 2024: Over half (55%) of U.S. agents reported no
significant changes in buy-side commission rates compared to 2023,
reflecting relative stability despite a challenging market.
However, 16% of agents reported slight decreases (less than 0.25%
of the total transaction value), while 8% reported more significant
declines. Meanwhile, 9% of respondents noted increases in buy-side
commission rates. In Canada, stability was even more pronounced,
with 82% of agents reporting no meaningful change.
- 2025 Buy-Side Commission Rates Expected to Stay Largely
Steady: Looking ahead, 52% of U.S. agents expect no meaningful
change in buy-side commission rates in 2025. While 20% anticipate
slight decreases and 5% foresee more significant reductions, 13%
predict increases, indicating that the net impact may be limited
overall.
- Listing-Side Commission Rates Reflected Even Greater
Stability in 2024: Sixty-four percent (64%) of U.S. agents
reported no meaningful changes in listing-side commission rates in
2024, while 13% observed declines and 15% noted increases. In
Canada, stability was even stronger, with 78% of agents indicating
no changes in listing-side commission rates.
- Agents Expect Minimal Change to Listing-Side Commissions in
2025: For 2025, 60% of U.S. agents expect listing-side
commission rates to remain unchanged. Among the remainder, 18%
foresee increases, while 13% anticipate decreases. Compared to the
buy-side, agents expressed somewhat greater confidence in the
relative stability of listing-side commission rates, indicating
less expectation for change across most markets.
Key Survey Findings: Market Trends and Insights
- Agent Optimism Index Closes Out 2024 at a New High: The
Agent Optimism Index, which measures agents’ sentiment about their
local market outlook over the next 12 months, rose to 76.4 in
December, up from 73.1 in November. This marks the highest reading
of the year, with a score above 50 signaling a net positive
outlook. In December, 52% of agents reported feeling more
optimistic compared to the previous month, and an additional 29%
felt significantly more optimistic. Only 4% of agents felt more
pessimistic, while 15% were neutral.
- Market Conditions Reflect Balance as Year Ends: Thirty
percent (30%) of agents described their market as a buyer’s market
in December, down slightly from 32% in November. Seller-dominated
markets also held relatively steady at 30%, up from 29% in
November. Forty percent (40%) of agents cited balanced market
conditions, showing a slight increase from 38% the prior
month.
- Affordability Remains a Key Concern: Affordability was
identified as the biggest hurdle for prospective homebuyers by 59%
of agents in December, down slightly from 62% in November.
Inventory constraints rose to 23% from 19% the prior month, while
economic uncertainty eased to 10% of respondents from 13%. Buyer
competition remained low, with 4% of agents citing it as a key
challenge.
- Transaction Growth Index Shows Modest Contraction: The
Transaction Growth Index, which tracks year-over-year changes in
home sales activity, dipped slightly to 47.7 in December from 48.3
in November. A score below 50 indicates a year-over-year
contraction in transaction activity. Canada continued to show
modest expansion, with an index score of 56.7, despite a slight dip
from November’s 61.0. The U.S. index edged down to 46.8 from 46.9,
signaling a narrow decline as agents prepare for recovery.
A summary presentation of these results can be found on Real’s
investor relations website at the link here.
About the Survey The Real Brokerage December 2024 Agent
Survey included responses from over 500 real estate agents across
the United States and Canada and was conducted between December 31,
2024 and January 7, 2025. Responses to questions regarding
transaction growth and agent optimism were calibrated on a 0-100
point index scale, with readings above 50 indicating an improving
trend, whereas readings below 50 indicate a declining trend.
Responses are meant to capture industry-level information and are
not meant to serve as an indication of Real’s company-specific
growth trends. Additionally, given the smaller sample size, there
can be greater variability in Canada index results on a
month-to-month basis.
About Real Real (NASDAQ: REAX) is a real estate
experience company working to make life’s most complex transaction
simple. The fast-growing company combines essential real estate,
mortgage and closing services with powerful technology to deliver a
single seamless end-to-end consumer experience, guided by trusted
agents. With a presence in all 50 states throughout the U.S. and
Canada, Real supports over 24,000 agents who use its digital
brokerage platform and tight-knit professional community to power
their own forward-thinking businesses.
Forward-Looking Information This press release contains
forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable
Canadian securities laws. Forward-looking information is often, but
not always, identified by the use of words such as “seek”,
“anticipate”, “believe”, “plan”, “estimate”, “expect”, “likely” and
“intend” and statements that an event or result “may”, “will”,
“should”, “could” or “might” occur or be achieved and other similar
expressions. These statements reflect management’s current beliefs
and are based on information currently available to management as
of the date hereof. Forward-looking information in this press
release includes, without limiting the foregoing, expectations
regarding the residential real estate market in the U.S. and
Canada.
Forward-looking information is based on assumptions that may
prove to be incorrect, including but not limited to expectations
regarding 2025 market conditions. Real considers these assumptions
to be reasonable in the circumstances. However, forward-looking
information is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties
and other factors that could cause actual results, performance or
achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied
in the forward-looking information. Important factors that could
cause such differences include, but are not limited to, slowdowns
in real estate markets and economic and industry downturns. These
factors should be carefully considered and readers should not place
undue reliance on the forward-looking statements. Although the
forward-looking statements contained in this press release are
based upon what management believes to be reasonable assumptions,
Real cannot assure readers that actual results will be consistent
with these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking
statements are made as of the date of this press release, and Real
assumes no obligation to update or revise them to reflect new
events or circumstances, except as required by law.
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version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250122189976/en/
Investor inquiries, please contact: Ravi Jani Vice President,
Investor Relations and Financial Planning & Analysis
investors@therealbrokerage.com 908.280.2515
For media inquiries, please contact: Elisabeth Warrick Senior
Director, Marketing, Communications & Brand
press@therealbrokerage.com 201.564.4221
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