S&P Sees Equity Investor Benefits From Strong Commodities Markets
29 February 2008 - 1:00AM
PR Newswire (US)
Near record prices bolster Canadian, Latin American companies'
profit outlooks NEW YORK, Feb. 28 /PRNewswire/ -- While the
uncertainty in the global markets continues, Standard & Poor's
Equity Research Services asserts investors can leverage strong
commodity pricing to cushion their equity portfolios. Further
detail can be found in the report titled International Investment
Outlooks: Commodity Cushion, published by Standard & Poor's, a
leading provider of financial market intelligence. "We believe
commodity prices are benefiting from investors' increasing worries
that inflation, which has begun to inch up globally, will continue
to rise," says Alec Young, International Equity Strategist for
Standard & Poor's Equity Research. "In addition, with most
commodities denominated in greenbacks, the U.S. dollar's long-term
downtrend continues to support raw material prices." While global
capital markets have already priced in a mild U.S. recession, by
our analysis, raw material prices continue to reach new highs.
Tighter global capacity along with strong demand from emerging
markets has counter-balanced demand weakness in developed
countries. From an equity investment perspective, S&P Equity
Research believes commodity-driven EPS momentum will continue to
positively differentiate the Latin American and Canadian markets.
"Canada and Latin America's 35.8% and 46.5% respective exposures to
the Materials and Energy sectors have led to positive index level
consensus 2008 EPS revisions in these regions at a time when the
U.S., Europe and Asia all have very limited EPS visibility," adds
Young. "It's important to note that commodities, particularly
precious metals, benefit from increasing geopolitical tensions.
Since it's impossible to predict these unfortunate events, we
believe it behooves investors to build this 'portfolio insurance'
into their asset allocations." Standard & Poor's Equity
Research believes the current commodity bull market presents
opportunities for equities in the Materials sector. "Companies in
the metals sub-industry of the commodities market have been
delivering solid earnings for a sustained period," says Leo Larkin,
Diversified Metals & Mining Analyst for Standard & Poor's
Equity Research. "Gold has been particularly rewarding, as it has
enjoyed a seven-year bull run, and we recommend the purchase of
Barrick Gold (ABX: Buy; $51). In our view, copper also has been a
nice surprise that has rewarded investors with strong returns. We
have a favorable view of Teck Cominco (TCK: Buy; $40), partly based
on higher copper prices." Standard & Poor's Equity Research
delivers insights into stocks and markets, along with new
investment ideas everyday through products, such as The Outlook and
MarketScope Advisor. These offerings draw from data, knowledge and
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winning STARS coverage and Stock Reports. Detailed financial
information, such as valuation models, and proprietary Standard
& Poor's metrics like Fair Value and Quality Rankings, can be
found in Stock Reports on nearly 1,600 U.S.-listed equities. The
statements above are from Standard & Poor's equity analysts and
strategists, who have no affiliation with any company they cover,
nor any ownership interest in any companies they cover. About
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& Poor's equity analysts' U.S. market commentary each day at
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http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/equity/ResearchObjectivityPolicy2005.
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browser.) About Standard & Poor's Standard & Poor's, a
division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP), is the world's
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information, visit http://www.standardandpoors.com/. DATASOURCE:
Standard & Poor's Equity Research CONTACT: Jeff Sexton,
Communications, 212-438-3448 Web site:
http://www.standardandpoors.com/
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