New report shows NPV-10 growth of 90% to
$535 million for 2P
Reserves and $1.25 billion for 3P
Reserves
CALGARY and HOUSTON, April 11,
2019 /CNW/ - PetroTal Corp. ("PetroTal" or the "Company")
(TSX-V: TAL and AIM: PTAL) is pleased to provide a summary of the
Company's 2018 year-end reserves in the Bretaña field in Northern
Peru. Reserves numbers presented herein were derived from an
independent reserves report (the "NSAI Report") prepared by
Netherland, Sewell & Associates, Inc. ("NSAI") effective
December 31, 2018. Unless otherwise
noted, all figures referred to in this press release are
denominated in U.S. Dollars.
2018 Year-end Reserve Highlights
- Proved ("1P") Reserves estimated at approximately 17.9
million(1) barrels ("bbl") of oil gross;
- Proved + Probable ("2P") Reserves estimated at approximately
39.4 million(1) bbl of oil gross;
- Proved + Probable + Possible ("3P") Reserves estimated at
approximately 78.7 million(1) bbl of oil gross;
- NPV-10 of approximately $535
million for 2P Reserves and $1.25
billion for 3P Reserves; and
- 2P Reserves NPV-10 increase of 70%.
Note:
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1.
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Reserves include a
total of approximately 2,963.6 Mbbl (3P) of oil for surface
facility use across all categories (960.7 Mbbl (1P) and 1,818.2
Mbbl (2P)). See "Summary of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values
as of December 31, 2018" for a summary of Company
reserves, which
exclude these amounts.
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The Company has certified total 2P reserves of 39.4 million
barrels of recoverable oil at the Bretaña field. The net present
value of before tax future net revenues discounted at 10 percent
("NPV-10") of 2P oil reserves is approximately $535 million. On a 1P Reserves basis,
reserves increased by 22% to 17.9 million bbl from 14.7 million bbl
gross, with an associated NPV-10 increasing three-fold to
$151 million from $38 million. Additionally, the NPV-10 of
the 3P Reserves increased by 58%.
Manolo Zuniga, PetroTal's
President and Chief Executive Officer, stated:
"The increased NPV-10 is a result of lower than expected
development costs, partly as a result of using produced oil to
power the field. The lower development costs truly drive the
NPV-10 of the project, where we see a major increase from
$282 million to $535 million. Even more important is
the NPV-10 of the 3P reserves, estimated at $1.25 billion, which underpins our future value,
which could primarily be obtained by increasing the field's
recovery factor."
2018 Year-end Reserves Summary
The summary below sets forth PetroTal's reserves as at
December 31, 2018, as presented in
the NSAI Report. The figures in the following tables have
been prepared in accordance with the standards contained in the
Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the "COGE Handbook") and
the reserve definitions contained in National Instrument 51-101 –
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101").
In addition to the summary information disclosed in this press
release, more detailed information will be included in PetroTal's
annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2018 (the "AIF") to be filed on
SEDAR (www.sedar.com) and posted on PetroTal's website
(www.Petrotal-corp.com) in April
2019.
The reserves estimated by NSAI on the charts below exclude up to
three million barrels that are expected to be used for power
generation in the field.
Summary of Oil Reserves and Net Present Values as of
December 31, 2018
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Company
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Future Net
Revenue
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Heavy Oil
Reserves(2)
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Before Income Taxes
(USM$)(4)(5)(6)
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(Mbbl)(1)
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Discounted
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Discounted
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Discounted
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Discounted
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Discounted
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Category
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Gross
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Net(3)
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at 0%
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at 5%
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at 10%
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at 15%
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at 20%
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Proved Developed
Producing
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1,559.0
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1,559.0
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75,696.3
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61,506.5
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51,624.6
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44,472.9
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39,112.0
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Proved
Undeveloped
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15,378.5
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15,378.5
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202,879.9
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143,618.9
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99,380.2
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66,606.6
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42,129.6
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Total
Proved
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16,937.5
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16,937.5
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278,576.2
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205,125.4
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151,004.8
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111,079.5
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81,241.6
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Probable
Undeveloped
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20,597.8
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20,597.8
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772,240.6
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523,525.2
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384,528.6
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299,631.9
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243,749.6
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Proved +
Probable
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37,535.4
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37,535.4
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1,050,816.8
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728,650.6
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535,533.4
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410,711.4
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324,991.2
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Possible
Undeveloped
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38,278.9
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38,278.9
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1,684,251.1
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1,060,626.2
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718,814.0
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516,783.2
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389,791.8
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Proved + Probable +
Possible
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75,814.2
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75,814.2
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2,735,067.9
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1,789,276.8
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1,254,347.5
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927,494.6
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714,783.0
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Notes:
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1.
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Totals may not add
because of rounding. Mbbl are thousands of
barrels.
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2.
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PetroTal owns a 100
percent company gross interest and a 100 percent company net
interest in these properties. Company reserves
exclude a total of approximately 2,963.6 Mbbl (3P) of oil for
surface facility use across all categories (960.7 Mbbl (1P) and
1,818.2 Mbbl (2P)).
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3.
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Net reserves do not
include deductions for royalty expenses for net oil volumes;
government royalties are included in property and mineral
taxes.
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4.
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Based on NSAI's
December 31, 2018 escalated price forecast. See "Summary of
Pricing and Inflation Rate Assumptions – Forecast Prices
and Costs".
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5.
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It should not be
assumed that the undiscounted or discounted net present value of
future net revenue attributable to the Company's
reserves estimated by NSAI represent the fair market value of those
reserves.
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6.
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All future net
revenues are estimated using forecast prices and cost assumptions,
arising from the anticipated development and production
of reserves, after the deduction of royalties, operating costs,
development costs and abandonment and reclamation costs but
before
consideration of indirect costs such as administrative, overhead
and other miscellaneous expenses. There is no assurance that the
forecast
prices and costs assumptions will be attained and variances could
be material. The recovery and reserve estimates of the
Company's
reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no
guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered.
Actual reserves
may be greater than or less than the estimates provided
herein.
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Summary of Pricing and Inflation Rate Assumptions – Forecast
Prices and Costs
The forecast cost and price assumptions assume increases in
wellhead selling prices and include inflation with respect to
future operating and capital costs. Crude oil benchmark
reference pricing, inflation and exchange rates utilized by NSAI as
at December 31, 2018 were as
follows:
Period
Ending
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Oil Price
(US$/BBL)
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12-31-2019
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63.88
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12-31-2020
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68.20
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12-31-2021
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70.98
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12-31-2022
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73.35
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12-31-2023
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75.40
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12-31-2024
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77.35
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12-31-2025
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79.40
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12-31-2026
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81.61
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Thereafter, escalated 2 percent on January 1 of each year.
Future Development Costs
The following information sets forth development costs deducted
in the estimation of PetroTal's future net revenue attributable to
the reserve categories noted below:
Proved
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$178.0
million
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Proved +
Probable
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$251.1
million
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Proved + Probable +
Possible
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$368.8
million
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The future development costs are estimates of capital
expenditures required in the future for PetroTal to convert the
corresponding reserves to proved developed producing
reserves.
About PetroTal
PetroTal is a publicly-traded, dual-listed (TSX-V: TAL and AIM:
PTAL) oil and gas development and production company domiciled in
Calgary, Alberta, focused on the
development of oil assets in Peru.
PetroTal's development asset is the Bretaña field in Peru's Block 95 where oil production was
initiated in June 2018. Additionally,
the Company has large exploration prospects and is engaged in
finding a partner to drill the Osheki prospect in Block 107. The
Company's management team has significant experience in developing
and exploring for oil in Northern
Peru and is led by a Board of Directors that is focused on
safely and cost effectively developing and exploiting the Bretaña
oil field.
Qualified Person Review
Manuel Pablo Zúñiga-Pflücker, President and CEO, has approved
the technical disclosure in this regulatory announcement in his
capacity as a qualified person under the AIM Rules. Mr. Zúñiga is a
petroleum engineer with over 30 years of industry experience. Mr.
Zúñiga holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Mechanical Engineering
from the University of Maryland and a
Masters of Science degree in Petroleum Engineering from
Texas A&M University. Mr. Zúñiga is
a member of the Society of Petroleum Engineers.
READER ADVISORIES
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: This press release may contain
certain statements that may be deemed to be forward-looking
statements. Such statements relate to possible future events,
including, but not limited to: PetroTal's business strategy,
objectives, strength and focus; drilling and completion activities
and the results of such activities; the ability of the Company to
achieve drilling success consistent with management's expectations;
anticipated future production and revenue; future development and
growth prospects; and the timing of release of the AIF. All
statements other than statements of historical fact may be
forward-looking statements. In addition, statements relating to
expected production, reserves, recovery, costs and valuation are
deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied
assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions that the
reserves described can be profitably produced in the future.
Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by
the use of words such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "plan",
"estimate", "potential", "will", "should", "continue", "may",
"objective" and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements
are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by the
Company, including, but not limited to, expectations and
assumptions concerning the ability of existing infrastructure to
deliver production and the anticipated capital expenditures
associated therewith, reservoir characteristics, recovery factor,
exploration upside, prevailing commodity prices and the
actual prices received for PetroTal's products, the availability
and performance of drilling rigs, facilities, pipelines, other
oilfield services and skilled labour, royalty regimes and exchange
rates, the application of regulatory and licensing requirements,
the accuracy of PetroTal's geological interpretation of its
drilling and land opportunities, current legislation, receipt of
required regulatory approval, the success of future drilling and
development activities, the performance of new wells, the Company's
growth strategy, general economic conditions and availability of
required equipment and services. Although the Company believes that
the expectations and assumptions on which the forward-looking
statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be
placed on the forward-looking statements because the Company can
give no assurance that they will prove to be correct. Since
forward-looking statements address future events and conditions, by
their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties.
Actual results could differ materially from those currently
anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include,
but are not limited to, risks associated with the oil and gas
industry in general (e.g., operational risks in development,
exploration and production; delays or changes in plans with respect
to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the
uncertainty of reserve estimates; the uncertainty of estimates and
projections relating to production, costs and expenses; and health,
safety and environmental risks), commodity price and exchange rate
fluctuations, legal, political and economic instability in
Peru, access to transportation
routes and markets for the Company's production, changes in
legislation affecting the oil and gas industry and uncertainties
resulting from potential delays or changes in plans with respect to
exploration or development projects or capital expenditures. Please
refer to the risk factors identified in the Company's annual
information form for the year ended December
31, 2017 and management's discussion and analysis for the
three and nine months ended September 30,
2018 which are available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. The
forward-looking statements contained in this press release are made
as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no obligation to
update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities
laws.
OIL AND GAS INFORMATION: This press release contains oil and
gas metrics, including "future development costs", which do not
have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation and
therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar measures
used by other companies. Such metrics have been included herein to
provide readers with additional measures to evaluate the Company's
performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of
the future performance of the Company and future performance may
not compare to the performance in previous periods. Future
development costs are calculated as the sum of development capital
plus the change in future development costs for the period.
FOFI DISCLOSURE: This press release contains future-oriented
financial information and financial outlook information
(collectively, "FOFI") about PetroTal's prospective results of
operations, production, NPV-10, future net revenue, future
development costs, and components thereof, all of which are subject
to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations and
qualifications as set forth in the above paragraphs. FOFI contained
in this press release was made as of the date of this press release
and was provided for the purpose of providing further information
about PetroTal's anticipated future business operations. PetroTal
disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any FOFI
contained in this press release, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, unless required pursuant
to applicable law. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in
this press release should not be used for purposes other than for
which it is disclosed herein. All FOFI contained in this press
release complies with the requirements of Canadian securities
legislation, including NI 51-101.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation
Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the
TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or
accuracy of this press release.
SOURCE PetroTal Corporation