By Carla Mozee
Brazilian equities rose to a six-month high Thursday in a
broad-based rally that benefited from a climb in commodity prices,
and Chilean stocks gained in the run-up to the central bank's
interest rate cut after the market close.
The markets were also aided by a rally on Wall Street after a
spate of positive developments from the financial sector.
Brazil's Bovespa finished up 3.1% at 45,538.71, its highest
closing level since Oct. 2.
The rally was led by shares of Embraer (ERJ), up 9.1% after
local newspaper Estado said the aircraft producer is aiming to sell
more military planes to various governments as a way to offset
declining sales to commercial air carriers and private
entities.
Online retailer B2W Companhia Global do Varejo rose 4.3%,
building on its 12% rise in the previous session after HSBC
initiated coverage on the company with an outperform rating.
However, shares of Banco do Brasil continued to fall after a
steep decline Wednesday. The sell-off was prompted by the firing of
the bank's chief executive by the president of Brazil.
Shares of Bovespa heavyweight Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR) rose
4.4% Thursday on the back of a 5.8% leap in crude-oil prices to
$52.24.
Fellow market heavyweight and iron-ore giant Companhia Vale do
Rio Doce (RIO) surged 5%. Shares of steelmakers Gerdau (GGB) and
CSN (SID) climbed 3.8% and 4%, respectively, as base metals prices
strengthened.
Trading will be closed Friday for the Good Friday holiday. For
the week, the Bovespa rose 2.6%.
The Reuters/ Jefferies CRB Index (CRB), which tracks commodity
prices, rose 1.9%.
Prices for natural resources were bolstered in part by increased
optimism that the U.S. economy and financial system are showing
signs of stabilization. Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) surprised
investors Thursday by saying it expects a $3 billion record profit
in the first quarter, partly due to a fall in loan losses and
provisions and a climb in mortgage applications.
Meanwhile, The New York Times reported that regulators expect
all 19 banks undergoing stress tests to pass them. But more
government aid may still be required, according to the report.
On Wall Street, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) jumped 3.8% and the
Dow industrials (DJI) rose 3.1%. The widely watched benchmarks are
on track for weekly gains.
"A light week for economic data delivered additional whiffs of
stabilization, including a steep liquidation of wholesalers'
inventories and a solid increase in real business sales in
February," Alan Levenson, chief economist at T.Rowe Price, said in
a note Thursday.
"A steadying in the rate of economic contraction is important in
its own right as a milestone in the transition from recession to
renewed expansion," he said.
Chile plows higher
In Santiago, Chile's IPSA gained 1.7% to 2,585.65 in a shortened
session ahead of the Good Friday holiday. The index closed the week
up 1.3%.
The banking group rose 1.5% prior to the central bank's interest
rate cut.
Banco de Chile (BCH) shares closed 1.9% higher, and Banco de
Credito e Inversiones were up 1.7%. Shares of Banco Santander Chile
(SAN) rose by 2.1%.
After market close, Banco Central de Chile cut its key interest
rate by 50 basis points to 1.75%, meeting market expectations.
Before the latest rate reduction, the central bank had cut the
benchmark rate by a total of 6 percentage points since January.
Trading in Argentina and Mexico was closed for the Holy Thursday
holiday, and will be closed on Friday. Mexico's IPC fell 1.9% on a
weekly basis, and Argentina's Merval fell 2.8%.
Banco do Brasil shares under pressure
Shares of Banco do Brasil slumped 2.8%, extending their 8.2%
decline Wednesday after Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da
Silva fired Antonio Francisco Lima Neto, the chief executive of the
country's biggest public-sector bank.
Lula reportedly made the move in an effort to have the high
interest rates charged to consumers lowered. Aldemir Bendine was
later confirmed as the new CEO. Bendine had served as vice
president of credit cards and retail services operations at Banco
do Brasil.
Recently, average spreads were standing at 30%, with spreads for
individuals surpassing the 40% mark, and roughly 20% for
corporations, according to Alejo Rodriguez Cacio, a Brazilian
banking analyst at Riedel Research Group.
Consumers who took out personal loans paid an average annual
rate of 52.7% in 2008, according to data on the central bank's Web
site.
The benchmark lending rate currently stands at 11.25%.
"While Brazil is not unique [and] is not alone in having had
high inflation in the past and having successfully cut it to single
digits, it is rather unique in not having achieved a consequent
reduction in interest spreads," Cacio wrote in e-mailed comments to
MarketWatch.
Still, Cacio doesn't believe the banking sector is likely to
experience a wave of intervention.
"I believe Lula knows well that he has to maintain a
market-friendly approach to his economic moves," he said. And
because Bendine is a career banker with Banco do Brasil, "we [do]
not to expect great changes in Banco do Brasil or the banking
sector's trends."
Cacio said he remains positive on Brazil "and, in particular,
its banking industry oriented to consumer credit."
Deutsche Bank analyst Mario Pierry also said in a note to
clients on Wednesday that Bendine's appointment doesn't indicate a
change in the company's strategic decision.
But the broker did downgrade the bank's shares to hold from buy,
saying its concerns are more rooted by the possibility that the
government will pressure private banks to cut rates, which could
result in lower profit sector-wide.
Thus, "we would rather take a 'wait and see' approach on the
stock," said Pierry.