S2F Creator Beckons Beginning Of Second Leg Of Bitcoin Bull Run
10 August 2021 - 5:00AM
NEWSBTC
PlanB, the popularizer of the Bitcoin stock-to-flow (S2F) model,
says the current bull run still has a second leg remaining. PlanB
“Awaiting” The Second Leg Of This Bitcoin Bull Market According to
PlanB on Twitter, the S2F and S2FX models predict a second leg in
the current bull run that will bring new highs for BTC. As the name
may suggest, the Bitcoin S2F or stock-to-flow model is based on the
ratio between the stock (supply) and the flow (supply). The model
is actually a general one, meaning it can be applied on any
commodity. Higher the S2F value, more scarce is the asset. The
method has been popularly used for precious metals like gold and
silver, while PlanB applied it to Bitcoin. Here is how the current
S2F price chart for BTC looks like: The price as predicted by the
Bitcoin S2F model | Source: buybitcoinworldwide.com As the graph
shows, BTC’s price seems to be treading remarkably close to the
line predicted by the S2F model. There are certain regions of
deviations, but the overall trend seems to be intact nonetheless.
Related Reading | A Generational Bitcoin Buy Signal Is Almost Back
Below is the chart that PlanB posted today. It shows BTC’s
trajectory after the 2012, 2016, and 2020 halving. Red indicates
the current 2020 bull run | Source: PlanB The two green lines in
the chart show the price targets as predicted by the S2F and S2FX
models. The S2FX model is a slight modification of the original S2F
method. As the above chart shows, both the rallies after a halving
in 2012 (cyan) and 2016 (blue) seem to follow a specific pattern.
The peak seems to have shifted later for the 2016 run as compared
to the 2012 one. Related Reading | Bitcoin Accumulation Patterns
Shows Rally Might Only Be In Its Early Stages If there is indeed a
pattern here, the current bull run isn’t over and a peak is yet to
be reached. Since the time period between the halving and the peak
seems to be only going up, the current one will still take a while
longer to reach it. This is the “second leg” PlanB awaits. BTC
Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is just under $36k,
up 15% in the last 7 days. Here is a chart that shows the trend in
the coin’s value over the past 3 months: BTC's price shoots up |
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Bitcoin has continued to move up over
the weekend as the coin breaks above $45k for the first time since
16 May. It’s unclear whether the crypto can retain the trend and
keep pushing forward, or if it would hit another resistance wall
and slip back down. If the S2F pattern indeed holds, then perhaps
BTC is headed towards a bull run right now. A related S2F indicator
also suggests the coin will move on a tear now that it has touched
an important trend line.
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