Bitcoin Derivatives Market Heating Up Again: Brace For Impact?
14 December 2024 - 3:30PM
NEWSBTC
Data shows that the indicators related to the Bitcoin derivatives
market have recently been heating up, which could lead to more
volatility in BTC’s price. Bitcoin Open Interest & Leverage
Ratio Have Shot Up As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst
Maartunn in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Open Interest has
registered a sharp increase alongside the asset’s return above the
$100,000 level. The “Open Interest” here refers to a metric that
keeps track of the total amount of derivatives positions related to
BTC that are currently open on all centralized exchanges. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Returns Above $100,000 As Monthly Inflows Hit $80
Billion Below is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the
trend in the percentage change of the Bitcoin Open Interest over
the past month: As displayed in the graph, the Bitcoin Open
Interest has witnessed a sharp positive change recently, which
implies a large number of positions have popped up on the market.
In the chart, Maartunn has highlighted the previous instances of
the indicator observing a large percentage increase. It would
appear that the price generally saw a cooldown when this pattern
formed during the past month. As for the reason behind this trend,
the answer is that more positions usually imply the presence of a
higher amount of leverage in the sector. A chaotic event known as a
squeeze can become more likely to occur in these circumstances.
During a squeeze, a large number of positions are liquidated at
once and provide fuel to the price move that caused them. The
elongated price move then unleashes a cascade of further
liquidations. A squeeze can be more probable to affect the side of
the market that has the more leveraged positions. The previous
increases in the Open Interest came alongside uptrends, so the new
positions were likely long ones. This may be why the market ended
up seeing a long squeeze to wipe out these excess positions. It’s
possible that the latest Open Interest increase could also lead to
a similar outcome for Bitcoin, since these fresh positions have
also come alongside a rally. It all depends, however, on whether
these positions are overleveraged or not. Unfortunately for the
cryptocurrency, this requirement also seems to be fulfilled, as
data for the Estimated Leverage Ratio shared by CryptoQuant author
IT Tech in an X post suggests. The Estimated Leverage Ratio tells
us, as its name implies, the average amount of leverage that the
users on the derivatives market are opting for. Given that this
metric has also spiked alongside the Open Interest increase, the
new positions that have appeared could be carrying significant
leverage. Related Reading: XRP Bull Flag Breakout Could Lead Price
To $4, Analyst Says It now remains to be seen how Bitcoin will
develop in the coming days, given the potential overheated
conditions that have developed in these derivatives indicators. BTC
Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $100,400,
up more than 2% over the last seven days. Featured image from
Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
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