CALGARY,
AB, Sept. 9, 2022 /CNW/ - Journey Energy Inc.
(TSX: JOY) (OTCQX: JRNGF) ("Journey" or the
"Company") reports that it has updated its Corporate
Presentation and has posted the presentation on its website at
www.journeyenergy.ca. Alex Verge, Journey's President and
CEO, will be presenting at the Peters and Company Energy Conference
at 3:40 PM Eastern Standard Time on
Tuesday September 13, 2022. The presentation will be webcast
and a link to the recording of this presentation will be posted to
Journey's website as soon as it is available.
On July 28, 2022 Journey announced
its intention to enter into a significant transformative
acquisition (the "Acquisition"). In preparing this presentation
Journey has taken the opportunity to refine its corporate guidance,
post preliminary pro-forma reserves, present a 2023 first look, and
update changes to current hedges.
Although the 2022 year-end debt projections and exit rates are
essentially unchanged, 2022 average production and Adjusted Funds
Flow have been updated. The primary influences pertaining to the
guidance adjustments are:
- revising the forecasted closing date for the Acquisition from
October 1 to November 1;
- phasing of capital expenditures to later in 2022 in order to
ensure sufficient cash reserves are available at closing in an
uncertain commodity price environment;
- deferring approximately $4
million of capital projects into 2023 from 2022; and
- minor third quarter production curtailments associated with
NGTL's maintenance related mainline restrictions.
Journey has also presented a preliminary review of its pro-forma
reserves using an effective date of November
1, 2022. This preliminary review was performed by
Journey's independent evaluator, GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd.,
and is subject to the disclosures highlighted in the presentation.
The review utilizes the three consultant's average price deck
as of July 1, 2022. On
November 1, 2022, and post-closing of
the Acquisition, Journey forecasts having approximately
$108 million of net debt and 58.2
million common shares outstanding. Based on these assumptions
Journey's per share net asset value will have increased by
approximately 100% since December 31,
2021. Journey's proved, developed, producing NPV@10%
will have increased to $7.05 per
basic common share under these assumptions.
Journey also provided a first look for 2023 based upon its
projected year-end 2022 forecast net debt and exit sales volumes.
Journey's 2023 forecast incorporates a capital budget of
approximately $75 million,
$15 million of which is allocated to
the completion of a 15.5 megawatt power project in Gilby.
Assuming an $85 US/bbl average
WTI price, Journey is currently forecasting growth in both
production and Adjusted Funds Flow per common share of
approximately 30% in 2023 over 2022. Journey's forecasted
exit net debt of $88-92 million in
2022 is projected to decline to $3-9
million by the end of 2023. Journey has also provided updated
sensitivities in its 2023 first look.
The business plan for 2023 is preliminary in nature and will be
updated prior to the end of 2022. Journey continuously seeks
out opportunities to expand our base business plan in order to
enhance value for shareholders. Management looks forward to
updating you regularly on its progress.
Advisories:
Barrel of Oil Equivalents and
Volumes
Where amounts are expressed in a barrel of oil equivalent
("boe"), or barrel of oil equivalent per day ("boe/d"), natural gas
volumes have been converted to barrels of oil equivalent at six (6)
thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") to one (1) barrel. Use of the term BOE
may be misleading particularly if used in isolation. The boe
conversion ratio of 6 Mcf to 1 barrel ("Bbl") of oil or natural gas
liquids is based on an energy equivalency conversion methodology
primarily applicable at the burner tip, and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead. This conversion conforms to the
Canadian Securities Regulators' National Instrument 51-101 –
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities.
No securities regulatory authority has either approved or
disapproved of the contents of this press release.
ADVISORIES
This press release contains forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information (collectively "forward looking
information") within the meaning of applicable securities laws
relating to the Company's plans and other aspects of the
anticipated future operations, management focus, strategies,
financial, operating and production results, industry conditions,
commodity prices and business opportunities. In addition, and
without limiting the generality of the foregoing, this press
release contains forward-looking information regarding decline
rates, anticipated netbacks, drilling inventory, estimated average
drill, complete and equip and tie-in costs, anticipated potential
of the Assets including, but not limited to, EOR performance and
opportunities, capacity of infrastructure, potential reduction in
operating costs, production guidance, total payout ratio, capital
program and allocation thereof, future production, decline rates,
funds flow, net debt, net debt to adjusted funds flow, exchange
rates, reserve life, development and drilling plans, well
economics, future cost reductions, potential growth, and the source
of funding Journey's capital spending. Forward-looking information
typically uses words such as "anticipate", "believe", "project",
"expect", "goal", "plan", "intend" or similar words suggesting
future outcomes, statements that actions, events or conditions
"may", "would", "could" or "will" be taken or occur in the
future.
The forward-looking information is based on certain key
expectations and assumptions made by management, including
expectations and assumptions concerning prevailing commodity prices
and differentials, exchange rates, interest rates, applicable
royalty rates and tax laws; future production rates and estimates
of operating costs; performance of existing and future wells;
reserve and resource volumes; anticipated timing and results of
capital expenditures; the success obtained in drilling new wells;
the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out
planned activities; the timing, location and extent of future
drilling operations; the state of the economy and the exploration
and production business; results of operations; performance;
business prospects and opportunities; the availability and cost of
financing, labour and services; the impact of increasing
competition; the ability to efficiently integrate assets and
employees acquired through acquisitions, including the Acquisition,
the ability to market oil and natural gas successfully and the
ability to access capital. Although we believe that the
expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking
information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be
placed on the forward-looking information because Journey can give
no assurance that they will prove to be correct. Since
forward-looking information addresses future events and conditions,
by its very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties.
The actual results, performance or achievement could differ
materially from those expressed in, or implied by, the
forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can be
given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking
information will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what
benefits that we will derive therefrom. Management has included the
above summary of assumptions and risks related to forward-looking
information provided in this press release in order to provide
security holders with a more complete perspective on future
operations and such information may not be appropriate for other
purposes.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists of factors are
not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors
that could affect the operations or financial results are included
in reports on file with applicable securities regulatory
authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website
(www.sedar.com).These forward looking statements are made as of the
date of this press release and we disclaim any intent or obligation
to update publicly any forward-looking information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or results or otherwise,
other than as required by applicable securities laws.
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about Journeys prospective results of operations, funds
flow, netbacks, debt, payout ratio well economics and components
thereof, all of which are subject to the same assumptions, risk
factors, limitations and qualifications as set forth in the above
paragraphs. FOFI contained in this press release was made as of the
date of this press release and was provided for providing further
information about Journey's anticipated future business operations.
Journey disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise
any FOFI contained in this press release, whether as a result of
new information, future events or otherwise, unless required
pursuant to applicable law. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI
contained in this press release should not be used for purposes
other than for which it is disclosed herein. Information in this
press release that is not current or historical factual information
may constitute forward-looking information within the meaning of
securities laws, which involves substantial known and unknown risks
and uncertainties, most of which are beyond the control of Journey,
including, without limitation, those listed under "Risk Factors"
and "Forward Looking Statements" in the Annual Information Form
filed on www.SEDAR.com on March 31, 2022. Forward-looking
information may relate to the future outlook and anticipated events
or results and may include statements regarding the business
strategy and plans and objectives. Particularly, forward-looking
information in this press release includes, but is not limited to,
information concerning Journey's drilling and other operational
plans, production rates, and long-term objectives. Journey
cautions investors in Journey's securities about important
factors that could cause Journey's actual results to differ
materially from those projected in any forward-looking statements
included in this press release. Information in this press release
about Journey's prospective funds flows and financial position is
based on assumptions about future events, including economic
conditions and courses of action, based on management's assessment
of the relevant information currently available. Readers are
cautioned that information regarding Journey's financial outlook
should not be used for purposes other than those disclosed herein.
Forward-looking information contained in this press release is
based on current estimates, expectations and projections, which we
believe are reasonable as of the current date. No assurance
can be given that the expectations set out in the Prospectus or
herein will prove to be correct and accordingly, you should not
place undue importance on forward-looking information and should
not rely upon this information as of any other date. While we may
elect to, we are under no obligation and do not undertake to update
this information at any particular time except as required by
applicable securities law.
Non-IFRS Measures
The Company uses the following non-IFRS measures in
evaluating corporate performance. These terms do not have a
standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial
Reporting Standards and therefore may not be comparable with the
calculation of similar measures by other companies.
(1)
|
"Adjusted Funds
Flow" is calculated by taking "cash flow provided by
operating activities" from the financial statements and adding or
deducting: changes in non-cash working capital; non-recurring
"other" income; transaction costs; and decommissioning costs.
Adjusted Funds Flow per share is calculated as Adjusted Funds Flow
divided by the weighted-average number of shares outstanding in the
period. Because Adjusted Funds Flow and Adjusted Funds Flow per
share are not impacted by fluctuations in non-cash working capital
balances, we believe these measures are more indicative of
performance than the GAAP measured "cash flow generated from
operating activities". In addition, Journey excludes
transaction costs from the definition of Adjusted Funds Flow, as
these expenses are generally in respect of capital acquisition
transactions. The Company considers Adjusted Funds Flow a key
performance measure as it demonstrates the Company's ability to
generate funds necessary to repay debt and to fund future growth
through capital investment. Journey's determination of
Adjusted Funds Flow may not be comparable to that reported by other
companies. Journey also presents "Adjusted Funds Flow per basic
share" where per share amounts are calculated using the
weighted average shares outstanding consistent with the calculation
of net income (loss) per share, which per share amount is
calculated under IFRS and is more fully described in the notes to
the audited, year-end consolidated financial
statements.
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(2)
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"Net debt" is
calculated by taking current assets and then subtracting accounts
payable and accrued liabilities; the principal amount of term debt;
other loans; and the principal amount of the contingent bank
liability. Net debt is used to assess the capital efficiency,
liquidity and general financial strength of the Company. In
addition, net debt is used as a comparison tool to assess financial
strength in relation to Journey's peers.
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(3)
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Journey uses
"Capital Expenditures" to measure its capital investment
level compared to the Company's annual budgeted capital
expenditures for its organic capital program, excluding
acquisitions or dispositions. The directly comparable GAAP measure
to capital expenditures is cash used in investing
activities.
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Measurements
All dollar figures included herein are presented in Canadian
dollars, unless otherwise noted.
Where amounts are expressed in a barrel of oil equivalent
("boe"), or barrel of oil equivalent per day ("boe/d"), natural gas
volumes have been converted to barrels of oil equivalent at nine
(6) thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") to one (1) barrel. Use of the term
boe may be misleading particularly if used in isolation. The boe
conversion ratio of 6 Mcf to 1 barrel ("Bbl") of oil or natural gas
liquids is based on an energy equivalency conversion methodology
primarily applicable at the burner tip, and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead. This conversion conforms to the
Canadian Securities Regulators' National Instrument 51-101 –
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities.
Abbreviations
The following abbreviations are used throughout these
MD&A and have the ascribed meanings:
A&D
|
acquisition and divestiture of petroleum and natural
gas assets
|
bbl
|
barrel
|
bbls
|
barrels
|
boe
|
barrels of oil equivalent (see conversion statement
below)
|
boe/d
|
barrels of oil equivalent per
day
|
E&D
|
exploration and development activities as defined in
the COGE Handbook
|
gj
|
gigajoules
|
GAAP
|
Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles
|
IFRS
|
International Financial Reporting
Standards
|
Mbbls
|
thousand barrels
|
MMBtu
|
million British thermal units
|
Mboe
|
thousand boe
|
Mcf
|
thousand cubic feet
|
Mmcf
|
million cubic feet
|
Mmcf/d
|
million cubic feet per day
|
MSW
|
Mixed sweet Alberta benchmark oil
price
|
NGL's
|
natural gas liquids (ethane, propane, butane and
condensate)
|
WCS
|
Western Canada Select benchmark oil
price
|
WI
|
Working interest
|
WTI
|
West Texas Intermediate benchmark Oil
price
|
All volumes in this press release refer to the sales
volumes of crude oil, natural gas and associated by-products
measured at the point of sale to third-party purchasers. For
natural gas, this occurs after the removal of natural gas
liquids.
No securities regulatory authority has either approved or
disapproved of the contents of this press release.
SOURCE Journey Energy Inc.