Moody's Puts U.K. Banking System on Negative Outlook
29 June 2016 - 7:10AM
Dow Jones News
Moody's Investor Service on Tuesday lowered its outlook on the
U.K.'s banking system to negative and cut its outlook on certain
individual institutions, moves that follow its downgraded view of
the country's credit rating after U.K. citizens voted to leave the
European Union.
A negative outlook generally means there is a 1-in-3 chance of a
downgrade in 12 to 18 months.
"We expect lower economic growth and heightened uncertainty over
the U.K.'s future trade relationship with the EU to lead to reduced
demand for credit, higher credit losses and more volatile wholesale
funding conditions for U.K. financial institutions," said Laurie
Mayers, associate managing director at Moody's, resulting in
reduced profitability.
Moody's cut its outlook on eight banks—Barclays, HSBC, Santander
U.K., Coventry Building Society, Leeds Building Society, Nationwide
Building Society, Nottingham Building Society and TSB Bank—to
negative from stable. It lowered its view on Lloyds Bank and
Principality Building Society to stable from positive.
The firm said that it believes that there will be little
short-term liquidity implications for U.K. banks given the
extensive contingency planning preparations by the Bank of England,
regulators and the banks themselves. Still, it warned that the
wholesale borrowing market for U.K. banks would likely become more
volatile, resulting in a higher premium on debt issuance.
"This could make funding plans more challenging and further
erode net interest margins, but the overall impact should be
limited," Moody's said.
Moody's backed its view on several financial firms. For the
Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, Skipton Building Society, West
Bromwich Building Society and Yorkshire Building Society, "the
potential impact of the referendum result on these institutions is
outweighed by more firm-specific credit considerations," Moody's
said.
On Friday, the ratings firm said the U.K.'s economic growth
could be "materially weaker," given uncertainty about trade
relationships and economic policy. But Moody's affirmed the U.K.'s
existing credit rating at Aa1, the second highest available.
Write to Lisa Beilfuss at lisa.beilfuss@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 28, 2016 16:55 ET (20:55 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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