If Dogecoin Mirrors Last Cycle, The Surge To $4 Begins At Week’s End
04 December 2024 - 11:30PM
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After a staggering rally exceeding 200% in the first two weeks of
November, Dogecoin (DOGE) has entered a consolidation phase. Crypto
analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) suggests this could be the calm
before the storm, hinting at a potential surge similar to a
previous market cycle. Is Dogecoin Heading Towards $4? Kevin notes
that in Dogecoin’s last cycle, the memecoin consolidated for 24
days after its first massive rally before ascending again to what
he describes as the “macro golden pocket”—a price range between
$3.80 and $4.00 which aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension
level.He believes that if DOGE follows a similar trajectory, price
could skyrocket by the end of the week, potentially leading to a
new all-time high (ATH) by the end of the month. Related Reading:
Dogecoin Alert: Why December 5 Is A Game-Changing Date For Price
“In Dogecoin previous cycle when it had it’s first major leg up it
consolidated for 24 days after that move before legging up again to
the macro golden pocket. If DOGE were to follow a similar path that
would mean that that the next leg will start by the end of the week
and Doge will begin its path the macro golden pocket which is at
$3.80-$4.00,” Kevin states. However, he tempers expectations by
acknowledging that such astronomical performance is hard to
predict: “That would be astronomical performance though and it’s
hard to make that type of call. Let’s start with making a new ATH
by end of month like I predicted back in September.” The current
price position of Dogecoin is critical. Analyzing the daily
DOGE/USD chart, Kevin observes that DOGE is “actively testing this
major trend line of support on the daily RSI.” A breach of this
support could “accelerate downside. Bulls wants this to hold if
possible.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Whales Keep Buying – DOGE
Metrics Reveal Demand Remains Strong He adds that while the RSI
trend line held on the daily close, “it needs to bounce now if we
are going to hold it.” The influence of Bitcoin’s (BTC) price
movement could be pivotal: “If BTC can leg up, it would save us,”
he notes. Bitcoin itself has been consolidating since reaching a
reported ATH of $99,588 on November 22, trading within a range of
$90,800 to $98,500. Kevin describes a “tug of war between price
action and this downward momentum on the indicators,” as the daily
MACD shows increased downside momentum that the price isn’t
reflecting. He emphasizes that “one of them is going to win
eventually.” On the 4-hour BTC/USD chart, Kevin highlights a
symmetrical triangle pattern nearing its apex, suggesting an
imminent breakout. Despite recent volatility, “BTC still has not
broken down or even closed a 4HR candle below this trend line,”
indicating strong support levels. He also points out significant
liquidation levels around $100,000, stating that “it’s only a
matter of time before BTC decides to come up and take that
liquidity at $100K.” Such a move by Bitcoin could herald the next
major price surge for Dogecoin, aligning with the patterns observed
in the last cycle. Kevin’s analysis suggests that the interplay
between Bitcoin and Dogecoin prices remains a crucial factor in
predicting the next market movements. At press time, DOGE traded at
$0.4194. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from
TradingView.com
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