Prior to publication, the
information contained within this announcement was deemed by the
Company to constitute inside information as stipulated under the UK
Market Abuse Regulation. With the publication of this announcement,
this information is now considered to be in the public
domain.
Deltic
Energy Plc / Index: AIM / Epic: DELT / Sector: Natural
Resources
14 November 2024
Deltic Energy Plc ("Deltic"
or "the Company")
Selene Update and Economic
Model
Deltic Energy
Plc, the AIM quoted natural
resources investing company, is pleased to
provide the following update in relation to the recent drilling
operations at the Selene prospect in the UK Southern North
Sea:
Rig
Demobilisation and Well Cost Estimates
The Valaris 123 drilling rig was
demobilised from the Selene site on 10 November 2024.
Following confirmation of
demobilisation, the well Operator has provided an updated cost
estimate for the well of USD$48M which is within the USD$49M carry
cap pursuant to Deltic's farm-out arrangements in relation to the
2024 Selene drilling and testing costs. Therefore, Deltic does not
expect to have any residual cost exposure to the well drilling
costs.
The estimate of well costs will be
subject to variation as the Operator receives final invoices from
service providers over the coming months. As at 31 October 2024,
Deltic had an unaudited cash balance of £1.9M.
Entry to Second Term of the Licence
Following the announcement of the
Selene discovery on 31 October 2024, Shell, in its role as licence
Operator, has recommended that the Joint Venture ("JV") enter into
the Second Term of Licence P2437 and will now seek to agree a
low-cost work programme and timeline with the NSTA to support the
maturation of the discovery towards a potential Final Investment
Decision ("FID") in relation to the development of the Selene
discovery.
During the Second Term of the
licence, the JV will complete the post-well analytical work and the
various studies required to finalise a development concept. No
further drilling is required prior to FID. Work will also commence
on the various environmental studies to support the regulatory
permitting and approvals required to progress to
development.
Selene Preliminary Development Concept
Deltic has completed its preliminary
reservoir modelling, and updated its preferred development concept,
based on analysis of the data available from the 48/8b-3Z well. The
technical work completed indicates that a potential development
consisting of two horizontal wells would be sufficient to drain the
majority of the Selene structure, based on the improved reservoir
characteristics seen in the 48/8b-3Z well. Deltic's base case
assumption is that a minimum facilities, normally unmanned,
installation positioned on Selene will be tied back to the Barque
field infrastructure via a c. 20km subsea pipeline. The
Barque-Clipper-Bacton gathering system and onshore gas processing
plant has sufficient capacity to accept the gas production from the
proposed Selene development.
Deltic will be promoting this
potential development scenario with its Joint Venture ("JV")
partners, however ultimately the maturation of the field
development plan will be led by the licence Operator and will be
subject to further review once the detailed post-well analysis has
been completed.
Selene Updated Economic Model
Deltic has updated its internal
development success case economic model, based on cost data
provided by S&P Global in 2023, for the two well development
concept summarised above and in light of recent changes to the UK's
fiscal regime announced in the budget on 30 October 2024. The
results from this update are summarised below:
Assumptions
|
Units
|
Value*
|
Deltic Working Interest
|
%
|
25
|
P50 Estimated Ultimate Recovery
('EUR')
|
BCF
|
131
|
Initial Field Production
Rate
|
MMscf/day
|
50
|
Gas Price
|
pence/therm
|
80
|
First Gas
|
Year
|
2028
|
Capital expenditure
(Gross)
|
USD$
|
$310
million
|
Operational expenditure
(Gross)
|
USD$/bbl
|
$15
|
Fiscal Regime
|
As per
Budget announced
30
October 2024
|
Economic Evaluation
|
Units
|
Value*
|
Gross Gas Sales
(cumulative)
|
USD$
|
$1.5
billion
|
NPV10 (pre-tax, gross)
|
USD$
|
$288
million
|
NPV10 (post-tax, net to
Deltic)
|
USD$
|
$61
million
|
Payback Period
|
Years
|
In year 2
of production
|
Internal Rate of Return
|
%
|
34%
|
*Values
are estimates based on Deltic's own internal economic model and
have not been subject to any third party review.
This preliminary economic evaluation
indicates that the P50 discovered volume is more than twice the
minimum economic field size and in the proposed assumed development
scenario, Selene would have a post-tax NPV10, net to Deltic, of
$61M (50 pence/share equivalent) which supports Deltic's decision
to support the entry into the second term of Licence P2437 and
progress the work required to reach FID.
Andrew Nunn, CEO, commented:
"I
am pleased to report that the Selene discovery well was completed
safely and within the carry resulting from the farm-outs to Shell
and Dana. Getting JV agreement on moving into the Second Term of
the licence is another key milestone on the journey from discovery
to development for Selene. It also reflects the high quality nature
of Selene's reservoir and the expectation of a low cost development
with enhanced production and economic potential from the
asset.
This decision to move into the second term of the licence
kicks off an incredibly busy period, as we support the Operator
through the various engineering, environmental and regulatory
workstreams that need to be pulled together to support a potential
Final Investment Decision. The workstreams now in train
are an important signal to our investors as you wouldn't commence
this process if you didn't believe there was a material commercial
return at the end it. We look forward to updating the market in due
course."
**ENDS**
For further information please
contact the following:
Deltic Energy
Plc
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7887
2630
|
Andrew Nunn / Sarah
McLeod
|
|
Allenby Capital Limited (Nominated Adviser)
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 3328 5656
|
David Hart / Alex Brearley (Corporate
Finance)
|
|
Canaccord Genuity Limited
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7523 8000
|
Adam James / Charlie Hammond
|
|
Vigo Consulting (IR
Adviser)
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7390 0230
|
Patrick d'Ancona / Finlay Thomson / Kendall
Hill
|
|
Qualified Person
Andrew Nunn, a Chartered Geologist
and Chief Executive Officer of Deltic, is a "Qualified Person" in
accordance with the Guidance Note for Mining, Oil and Gas
Companies, June 2009 as updated 21 July 2019, of the London Stock
Exchange. Andrew has reviewed and approved the information
contained within this announcement.
Standard
Estimates of resources have been
prepared in accordance with the PRMS as the standard for
classification and reporting.
Glossary of Technical Terms
BCF:
|
Billion Cubic Feet.
|
Estimated Ultimate Recovery
('EUR'):
|
Estimated Ultimate Recovery is
defined as those quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a
given date, to be potentially recoverable from an accumulation,
plus those quantities already produced therefrom.
|
MMscf:
|
million standard cubic
feet.
|
NPV10:
|
estimated net present value using a
discount rate of 10%.
|
PRMS:
|
the June 2018 Society of Petroleum
Engineers ("SPE") Petroleum Resources Management System.
|
P50 resource:
|
reflects a volume estimate that,
assuming the accumulation is developed, there is a 50% probability
that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the
estimate. This is therefore a median or best case estimate of
resource.
|
Therm:
|
the energy equivalent of
approximately a hundred cubic feet of natural gas.
|