4 things must happen before Ethereum can reclaim $2,600
11 March 2025 - 8:30AM
Cointelegraph


Ether (ETH) price dropped below $2,600 on
Feb. 24 and has since struggled to sustain a meaningful recovery.
The latest correction toward the $2,000 level triggered over $918
million in leveraged long (bull) liquidations in ETH futures within
15 days, according to CoinGlass data.
Traders now question what needs to happen for ETH to break above
$2,500.
Ether/USD (left) vs. total altcoin market cap (right).
Source: TradingView / Cointelegraph
Ether has underperformed the altcoin market by 10% during this
period, as shown in the chart above.
More concerningly, this decline followed a memecoin frenzy that
boosted Ethereum’s main competitor, Solana
(SOL). This
suggests that additional factors are hampering ETH’s price, and
four major issues need to be addressed before Ether can reclaim a
bull market.
Ethereum’s upgrades and increased
competition
For some, the upcoming Pectra
upgrade on the Ethereum network falls short of what is needed
to drive a meaningful turnaround, whether it lowers base-layer
transaction fees or significantly enhances usability.
Even if the changes do improve the user experience, analysts
argue that Ethereum still lacks interoperability across different
layer-2 solutions, both in terms of liquidity and user
accessibility.
Recent reports of empty blocks on the Ethereum
testnet have added to risk perception at a time when investors
were already skeptical. Regardless of whether this issue is
unrelated to the upcoming upgrade or easily fixable, some traders
worry that any potential delay could be perceived negatively by the
market.
In essence, fear remains the dominant sentiment, and for this to
change, several pressing issues must be resolved.
Critics argue that part of ETH investors’ disappointment stems
from the rise of indirect competitors, such as the modular layer-1
Berachain, which focuses on integrating liquidity and governance
for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
7-day protocol fees ranking, USD. Source: DefiLlama
Berachain has successfully captured over $3 billion in deposits,
as measured by total value locked (TVL)
on DefiLlama.
Similarly, Hyperliquid, a perpetual futures
application hosted on its own blockchain, has surpassed $2.8
billion in open interest, outpacing competitors on the Ethereum
network. In many ways, competition is growing beyond the
traditional model.
For ETH's price to regain bullish momentum, traders need
reassurance that the Ethereum network offers practical and clear
advantages for its projects and users. Ultimately, Ethereum's focus
on decentralization and incremental improvements—whether justified
or not—could be stemming demand compared to its
competition.
Weak onchain activity and institutional
demand
The lack of demand from institutional investors is evident in
the spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows,
which were negative in nine of the last 10 trading days,
resulting in $406 million in net withdrawals.
Some analysts suggested that demand could surge following the
eventual approval of native staking on Ethereum ETFs, but this
theory is now less certain, given that the ETH supply is increasing
at 0.7% annually.
Lower demand for blockchain processing has reduced the burn-fee
mechanism, causing Ether to become inflationary. As a result, the
adjusted native staking reward is now below 2.5%, while deposits in
stablecoins yield up to 4.5% in most DeFi projects.
Ultimately, the eventual inclusion of staking in spot ETFs is
unlikely to be a game-changer for institutional demand.
Related: DeFi
TVL drops by $45B, erasing gains since Trump
election
Lastly, traders are concerned that the US Securities and
Exchange Commission may approve a spot Solana ETF in
2025, creating direct competition for investors who currently only
have access to Ether and Bitcoin (BTC) ETF products.
Therefore, for ETH price to reach $2,500 and beyond, investors
need clearer evidence that Ethereum offers sustainable advantages
beyond its first-mover advantage.
In summary, Ether’s future depends on Ethereum network upgrades,
increased network usage, a subsequent decline in supply, and
reduced friction for layer-2 interoperability, ensuring that the
entire ecosystem benefits from its growth.
This article is for
general information purposes and is not intended to be and should
not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts,
and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not
necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of
Cointelegraph.
...
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