Bitcoin Traders Fearful For First Time Since October: Buying Signal?
04 February 2025 - 8:30AM
NEWSBTC
Data shows the sentiment among Bitcoin traders has plunged into the
fear territory following the crash in the cryptocurrency’s price.
Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Has Plummeted During The Past Day
The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator devised by
Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment that’s
currently present in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets.
This metric makes use of a numerical scale that runs from zero to
hundred for representing the market mentality. All values above the
53 mark correlate to the investors sharing a sentiment of greed,
while those under 47 suggest the presence of fear in the sector.
The region in-between these cutoffs corresponds to a net neutral
sentiment. Related Reading: Stablecoins See Positive Momentum: Will
This Lead To New Bitcoin All-Time High? Besides these three main
regions, there are also two special zones known as the extreme fear
and extreme greed. The former occurs below 25 and the latter above
75. Now, here is how the latest market sentiment has looked
according to the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index: As is visible
above, the indicator has a value of 44, which suggests the traders
in the sector are being fearful at the moment. This is a drastic
change from how the market has been recently, as the below chart
displays. On the 31st of last month, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed
Index had a value of 76, meaning that the market sentiment was
inside the extreme greed territory. Just three days later, the
trader’s opinion has completely flipped. The rapid deterioration in
sentiment is a result of the bearish price action that the asset
has witnessed this month, which has culminated in a crash during
the past day. If history is to go by, though, the skepticism that
has developed among the investors may actually be a positive sign
for BTC’s price. Bitcoin and other digital assets often tend to
move in a direction that’s opposite to what the crowd is expecting.
The probability of such a contrary move taking place only rises the
stronger the investors’ belief becomes. Related Reading: Bitcoin
HODLer Selloff Extends To 1.1 Million BTC As Profit-Taking
Continues Extreme greed and extreme fear are where this likelihood
is the strongest, so major tops and bottoms have historically
formed when the Fear & Greed Index has been in these regions.
The top last month, for instance, also occurred alongside extreme
greed. Traders who follow an investing philosophy called contrarian
trading exploit this fact to time their moves. Warren Buffet‘s
famous quote sums up the idea: “Be fearful when others are greedy,
and greedy when others are fearful.” While the market sentiment
hasn’t quite worsened into extreme fear yet, the fact that the
metric is at its lowest value since October could still be a sign
that a contrarian trader may be looking for. It now remains to be
seen whether the current level of fear would be enough for Bitcoin
to bottom out, or if a further drop will happen first. BTC Price At
the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $95,200, down
around 4% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E,
Alternative.me, chart from TradingView.com
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